Axsome Therapeutics Stock Beneish M Score

AXSM Stock  USD 67.90  2.18  3.32%   
This module uses fundamental data of Axsome Therapeutics to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Axsome Therapeutics M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Axsome Therapeutics Piotroski F Score and Axsome Therapeutics Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Axsome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Axsome Therapeutics guide.
  
At this time, Axsome Therapeutics' Interest Debt Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of April 2024, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.57, while Short and Long Term Debt is likely to drop about 2.2 M. At this time, Axsome Therapeutics' Cash Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of April 2024, Income Quality is likely to grow to 0.84, while Operating Cash Flow Per Share is likely to drop (3.35).
At this time, it appears that Axsome Therapeutics is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Axsome Therapeutics' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Axsome Therapeutics executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Axsome Therapeutics' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.01
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.49

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.12

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.69

Focus

Axsome Therapeutics Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Axsome Therapeutics' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Current Assets529.5 M504.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total88.2 M84 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment1.4 M1.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization7.2 M6.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative339.3 M323.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities145.8 M138.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total271.3 M258.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt1.3 M1.3 M
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt187 M178.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.980.8784
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile

Axsome Therapeutics Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Axsome Therapeutics' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Axsome Therapeutics in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Axsome Therapeutics' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Axsome Therapeutics Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

7.18 Million

At this time, Axsome Therapeutics' Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

About Axsome Therapeutics Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Axsome Therapeutics's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Axsome Therapeutics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axsome Therapeutics based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Axsome Therapeutics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Axsome Therapeutics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Axsome Therapeutics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Axsome Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Axsome Therapeutics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Axsome Therapeutics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Axsome Therapeutics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Axsome Therapeutics to buy it.
The correlation of Axsome Therapeutics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Axsome Therapeutics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Axsome Therapeutics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Axsome Therapeutics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Axsome Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Axsome Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Axsome Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Axsome Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Axsome Therapeutics Piotroski F Score and Axsome Therapeutics Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Axsome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Axsome Therapeutics guide.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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Is Axsome Therapeutics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axsome Therapeutics. If investors know Axsome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axsome Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.27)
Revenue Per Share
5.957
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.935
Return On Assets
(0.25)
Return On Equity
(1.59)
The market value of Axsome Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axsome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axsome Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axsome Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axsome Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axsome Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axsome Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axsome Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axsome Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.