Boeing Probability Of Bankruptcy

BA -  USA Stock  

USD 208.83  2.95  1.43%

Boeing Company Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Boeing Company Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Boeing Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Boeing balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Continue to Boeing Piotroski F Score and Boeing Altman Z Score analysis.

Boeing Probability Of Bankruptcy 

 
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Boeing Revenue Per Employee is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Revenue Per Employee was at 411,341. The current year Invested Capital is expected to grow to about 118.4 B, whereas Net Income Per Employee is forecasted to decline to (86.2 K).

Boeing Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Boeing's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Revenues USD101.13 B76.56 B58.16 B78.59 B
Revenues101.13 B76.56 B58.16 B78.59 B
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Boeing Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  45%  
Most of Boeing's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Boeing Company is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Boeing probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Boeing odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Boeing Company financial health.
Is Boeing's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boeing. If investors know Boeing will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boeing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Boeing Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boeing that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boeing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boeing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boeing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boeing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boeing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Boeing value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boeing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Boeing Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Boeing is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Boeing's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Boeing's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Boeing's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Boeing Company has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 45.0%. This is 5.68% higher than that of the Industrials sector and 24.41% higher than that of the Aerospace & Defense industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 12.98% lower than that of the firm.

Boeing Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Boeing's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Boeing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Boeing by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Boeing is rated second in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Boeing Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.0560.0880.091(0.005)(0.077)(0.079)
Total Debt9.95 B11.12 B13.85 B27.3 B63.58 B68.6 B
Total Liabilities89.12 B110.65 B116.95 B141.93 B170.21 B147.67 B
Current Liabilities50.13 B74.65 B81.59 B97.31 B87.28 B80.82 B
Total Assets90 B112.36 B117.36 B133.62 B152.14 B139.17 B
Current Assets62.49 B85.19 B87.83 B102.23 B121.64 B106.56 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations10.5 B13.35 B15.32 B(2.45 B)(18.41 B)(18.89 B)
Weighted Average Shares617.17 M595.58 M567.89 M562.79 M564.53 M575.52 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted642.8 M610 M585.5 M565.4 M568.6 M690.34 M

Boeing Fundamentals

About Boeing Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Boeing Company's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Boeing using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Boeing Company based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The Boeing Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sales, services, and supports commercial jetliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense, human space flight and launch systems, and services worldwide. The company was founded in 1916 and is based in Chicago, Illinois. Boeing operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 141000 people.

Boeing Investors Sentiment

The influence of Boeing's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Boeing. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Boeing Implied Volatility

    
  43.91  
Boeing's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Boeing Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boeing's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boeing stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boeing's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Boeing in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Boeing's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Boeing options trading.

Current Sentiment - BA

Boeing Company Investor Sentiment

Nearly all of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Boeing Company. What is your opinion about investing in Boeing Company? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with Boeing

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Boeing position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Boeing will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Boeing Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Boeing and CAE Inc. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Continue to Boeing Piotroski F Score and Boeing Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Boeing Company information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Boeing's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Boeing Stock analysis

When running Boeing Company price analysis, check to measure Boeing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boeing is operating at the current time. Most of Boeing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boeing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boeing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boeing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Boeing's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boeing. If investors know Boeing will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boeing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Boeing Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boeing that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boeing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boeing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boeing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boeing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boeing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Boeing value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boeing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.