Caterpillar Stock Z Score

CAT Stock  USD 366.43  1.78  0.49%   
Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Caterpillar Piotroski F Score and Caterpillar Valuation analysis.
For more information on how to buy Caterpillar Stock please use our How to Invest in Caterpillar guide.
  
At this time, Caterpillar's Additional Paid In Capital is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Working Capital is likely to gain to about 13.2 B in 2024, whereas Capital Expenditures is likely to drop slightly above 2.4 B in 2024. At this time, Caterpillar's Net Income From Continuing Ops is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Non Operating Income Net Other is likely to gain to about 1.6 B in 2024, whereas Selling General Administrative is likely to drop slightly above 3.8 B in 2024.

Caterpillar Z Score Analysis

Caterpillar's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

 = 

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

Current Caterpillar Z Score

    
  5.2  
Most of Caterpillar's fundamental indicators, such as Z Score, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Caterpillar is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

First Factor

 = 

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

 = 

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

 = 

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

 = 

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

 = 

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Caterpillar Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Caterpillar is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Caterpillar Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Caterpillar's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Caterpillar's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Caterpillar's interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.590.70.980.520.980.16-0.431.00.970.930.520.770.830.820.770.160.64-0.39-0.20.910.020.140.420.340.150.020.160.08-0.04
0.590.830.580.950.670.52-0.870.580.650.56-0.070.340.680.670.40.170.59-0.76-0.320.460.130.350.620.420.410.38-0.140.520.66
0.70.830.710.850.710.25-0.660.660.690.650.210.630.590.60.450.10.5-0.53-0.170.640.140.50.450.210.170.25-0.040.340.44
0.980.580.710.510.960.14-0.40.980.920.930.590.830.760.750.820.090.6-0.34-0.160.93-0.040.060.370.30.08-0.070.10.01-0.07
0.520.950.850.510.590.55-0.940.50.610.53-0.220.320.580.680.250.320.63-0.85-0.370.360.290.540.70.450.450.45-0.140.660.77
0.980.670.710.960.590.23-0.510.980.980.890.450.720.870.840.750.180.63-0.47-0.190.880.050.150.440.320.210.10.140.180.05
0.160.520.250.140.550.23-0.620.160.30.13-0.4-0.040.480.42-0.160.230.28-0.67-0.07-0.090.180.390.330.210.17-0.01-0.690.460.7
-0.43-0.87-0.66-0.4-0.94-0.51-0.62-0.43-0.56-0.510.44-0.1-0.52-0.77-0.15-0.48-0.720.970.58-0.23-0.38-0.51-0.81-0.64-0.66-0.560.1-0.78-0.79
1.00.580.660.980.50.980.16-0.430.960.930.530.750.820.820.810.160.65-0.4-0.230.920.010.060.420.360.170.020.140.07-0.05
0.970.650.690.920.610.980.3-0.560.960.870.330.660.910.880.640.260.67-0.54-0.190.80.110.290.510.360.250.130.160.260.12
0.930.560.650.930.530.890.13-0.510.930.870.380.670.650.840.750.210.71-0.47-0.40.820.020.130.540.530.340.040.20.08-0.02
0.52-0.070.210.59-0.220.45-0.40.440.530.330.380.720.26-0.030.72-0.38-0.130.520.360.72-0.36-0.48-0.42-0.35-0.54-0.490.09-0.65-0.64
0.770.340.630.830.320.72-0.04-0.10.750.660.670.720.470.380.63-0.060.32-0.010.160.78-0.050.060.140.02-0.36-0.330.06-0.23-0.23
0.830.680.590.760.580.870.48-0.520.820.910.650.260.470.750.50.170.49-0.51-0.040.660.040.250.350.190.150.11-0.020.280.25
0.820.670.60.750.680.840.42-0.770.820.880.84-0.030.380.750.480.470.87-0.8-0.60.640.280.340.750.690.570.370.10.50.31
0.770.40.450.820.250.75-0.16-0.150.810.640.750.720.630.50.480.040.38-0.07-0.180.89-0.06-0.440.130.210.080.020.17-0.18-0.25
0.160.170.10.090.320.180.23-0.480.160.260.21-0.38-0.060.170.470.040.4-0.54-0.410.060.940.240.420.360.480.620.170.680.43
0.640.590.50.60.630.630.28-0.720.650.670.71-0.130.320.490.870.380.4-0.77-0.760.510.250.290.920.890.490.380.060.470.29
-0.39-0.76-0.53-0.34-0.85-0.47-0.670.97-0.4-0.54-0.470.52-0.01-0.51-0.8-0.07-0.54-0.770.64-0.18-0.41-0.52-0.82-0.68-0.67-0.570.14-0.83-0.77
-0.2-0.32-0.17-0.16-0.37-0.19-0.070.58-0.23-0.19-0.40.360.16-0.04-0.6-0.18-0.41-0.760.64-0.21-0.26-0.04-0.72-0.87-0.7-0.59-0.11-0.46-0.26
0.910.460.640.930.360.88-0.09-0.230.920.80.820.720.780.660.640.890.060.51-0.18-0.21-0.02-0.140.210.20.010.040.16-0.06-0.2
0.020.130.14-0.040.290.050.18-0.380.010.110.02-0.36-0.050.040.28-0.060.940.25-0.41-0.26-0.020.270.290.190.310.590.060.620.45
0.140.350.50.060.540.150.39-0.510.060.290.13-0.480.060.250.34-0.440.240.29-0.52-0.04-0.140.270.450.150.20.240.00.510.55
0.420.620.450.370.70.440.33-0.810.420.510.54-0.420.140.350.750.130.420.92-0.82-0.720.210.290.450.910.590.460.130.570.46
0.340.420.210.30.450.320.21-0.640.360.360.53-0.350.020.190.690.210.360.89-0.68-0.870.20.190.150.910.630.350.10.360.23
0.150.410.170.080.450.210.17-0.660.170.250.34-0.54-0.360.150.570.080.480.49-0.67-0.70.010.310.20.590.630.670.280.590.4
0.020.380.25-0.070.450.1-0.01-0.560.020.130.04-0.49-0.330.110.370.020.620.38-0.57-0.590.040.590.240.460.350.670.320.810.55
0.16-0.14-0.040.1-0.140.14-0.690.10.140.160.20.090.06-0.020.10.170.170.060.14-0.110.160.060.00.130.10.280.320.02-0.35
0.080.520.340.010.660.180.46-0.780.070.260.08-0.65-0.230.280.5-0.180.680.47-0.83-0.46-0.060.620.510.570.360.590.810.020.82
-0.040.660.44-0.070.770.050.7-0.79-0.050.12-0.02-0.64-0.230.250.31-0.250.430.29-0.77-0.26-0.20.450.550.460.230.40.55-0.350.82
Click cells to compare fundamentals
To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Competition

In accordance with the company's disclosures, Caterpillar has a Z Score of 5.2. This is 27.76% higher than that of the Machinery sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 40.37% higher than that of the company.

Caterpillar Z Score Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Caterpillar's direct or indirect competition against its Z Score to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Caterpillar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caterpillar by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Caterpillar is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies.

Caterpillar ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Caterpillar's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Caterpillar's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Caterpillar Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Caterpillar that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Caterpillar's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Caterpillar's value.
Shares
Norges Bank2023-12-31
5.6 M
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
5.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
4.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
3.8 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
3.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
3.3 M
Amundi2023-12-31
3.2 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
2.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
48.4 M
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
37.7 M

Caterpillar Fundamentals

About Caterpillar Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Caterpillar's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Caterpillar using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caterpillar based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Caterpillar Inc. manufactures and sells construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, and industrial gas turbines. The company was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois. Caterpillar operates under Farm Heavy Construction Machinery classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 107700 people.

Pair Trading with Caterpillar

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Caterpillar position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Caterpillar will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Caterpillar Stock

  0.84LNN Lindsay Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.82LEV Lion Electric Corp Financial Report 14th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.81TWI Titan International Financial Report 1st of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.73ZEVYW Lightning EMotorsPairCorr
  0.72MNTX Manitex International Downward RallyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Caterpillar could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Caterpillar when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Caterpillar - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Caterpillar to buy it.
The correlation of Caterpillar is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Caterpillar moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Caterpillar moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Caterpillar can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Caterpillar is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Caterpillar Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Caterpillar Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Caterpillar Stock:
Check out Caterpillar Piotroski F Score and Caterpillar Valuation analysis.
For more information on how to buy Caterpillar Stock please use our How to Invest in Caterpillar guide.
Note that the Caterpillar information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Caterpillar's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Caterpillar Stock analysis

When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Is Caterpillar's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caterpillar. If investors know Caterpillar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caterpillar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.893
Dividend Share
5.1
Earnings Share
20.13
Revenue Per Share
131.336
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.029
The market value of Caterpillar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caterpillar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caterpillar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caterpillar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caterpillar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caterpillar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caterpillar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caterpillar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caterpillar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.