Capstone Probability Of Bankruptcy

CGRN Stock  USD 1.97  0.05  2.48%   
Capstone Green Energy Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Capstone Green Energy Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Capstone Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Capstone balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Continue to Capstone Green Piotroski F Score and Capstone Green Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Capstone Green Working Capital is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Working Capital is estimated at 38.81 Million

Capstone Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Capstone Green's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Enterprise Value141.76 M89.26 M80.33 M109.88 M
Average Equity9.29 M14.16 M12.75 M18.57 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Capstone Green Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  75%  
Most of Capstone Green's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Capstone Green Energy is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Capstone Green probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Capstone Green odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Capstone Green Energy financial health.
Is Capstone Green's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capstone Green. If investors know Capstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capstone Green listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
37 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.208
Return On Assets
(0.07) 
Return On Equity
(1.66) 
The market value of Capstone Green Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capstone Green's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capstone Green's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capstone Green's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capstone Green's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capstone Green's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Capstone Green value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capstone Green's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capstone Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Capstone Green is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Capstone Green's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Capstone Green's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Capstone Green's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Capstone Green Energy has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 75%. This is 76.14% higher than that of the Industrials sector and significantly higher than that of the Specialty Industrial Machinery industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 88.3% lower than that of the firm.

Capstone Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Capstone Green's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Capstone Green could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capstone Green by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Capstone Green is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Capstone Green Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201820192020202120222023 (projected)
Return on Average Assets(24.08)(28.45)(20.43)(19.55)(17.59)(18.98)
Asset Turnover1.210.890.750.670.771.05
Gross Margin11.3313.110.1412.2611.039.57
Total Debt27.34 M33.51 M58.2 M57.43 M66.05 M71.26 M
Total Liabilities56.81 M60.93 M92.85 M95.36 M85.82 M67.86 M
Current Liabilities28.09 M26.95 M34.46 M37.62 M43.26 M45.87 M
Total Assets79.96 M73.95 M106.02 M100.77 M115.89 M108.82 M
Current Assets70.11 M56.76 M86.91 M71.21 M81.89 M84.04 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations(17.7 M)(19.7 M)1.7 M(27.5 M)(24.75 M)(26.7 M)
Weighted Average Shares6.7 M8.15 M11.28 M14.73 M13.25 M14.3 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted6.7 M8.15 M11.28 M14.73 M13.25 M14.3 M

Capstone Fundamentals

About Capstone Green Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Capstone Green Energy's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Capstone Green using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capstone Green Energy based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Capstone Green Energy Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, and services microturbine technology solutions for use in stationary distributed power generation and distribution networks applications worldwide. Capstone Green Energy Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Van Nuys, California. Capstone Green operates under Specialty Industrial Machinery classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 133 people.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Capstone Green in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Capstone Green's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Capstone Green options trading.

Pair Trading with Capstone Green

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Capstone Green position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Capstone Green will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Capstone Green could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Capstone Green when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Capstone Green - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Capstone Green Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Capstone Green is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Capstone Green moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Capstone Green Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Capstone Green can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Capstone Green Piotroski F Score and Capstone Green Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

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Is Capstone Green's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capstone Green. If investors know Capstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capstone Green listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
37 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.208
Return On Assets
(0.07) 
Return On Equity
(1.66) 
The market value of Capstone Green Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capstone Green's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capstone Green's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capstone Green's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capstone Green's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capstone Green's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Capstone Green value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capstone Green's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.