Choice Hotels International Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| CHH Stock | USD 118.99 1.85 1.58% |
Choice | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Choice Hotels International Company probability of distress Analysis
Choice Hotels' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Choice Hotels Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 12% |
Most of Choice Hotels' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Choice Hotels International is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Choice Hotels probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Choice Hotels odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Choice Hotels International financial health.
Is Choice Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Choice Hotels. If investors know Choice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Choice Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | Dividend Share 1.15 | Earnings Share 5.07 | Revenue Per Share 14.646 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
The market value of Choice Hotels Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Choice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Choice Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Choice Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Choice Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Choice Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Choice Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Choice Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Choice Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Choice Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Choice Hotels is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Choice Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Choice Hotels' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Choice Hotels' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Choice Hotels' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Choice Hotels International has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 12.0%. This is 71.01% lower than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 65.74% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 69.87% higher than that of the company.
Choice Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Choice Hotels' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Choice Hotels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Choice Hotels by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Choice Hotels is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Choice Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 2.72 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.35 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.29 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 7.41 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 49.67 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 38.24 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 66.71 % | |||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.27 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 89.21 X | |||
| Price To Book | 169.53 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 8.19 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.54 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 700.05 M | |||
| EBITDA | 531.57 M | |||
| Net Income | 258.51 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 41.57 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 10.96 X | |||
| Total Debt | 1.68 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 2.62 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.69 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.72 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 296.55 M | |||
| Short Ratio | 6.91 X | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 5.07 X | |||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.23 X | |||
| Target Price | 129.36 | |||
| Number Of Employees | 1.84 K | |||
| Beta | 1.21 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 5.82 B | |||
| Total Asset | 2.39 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 1.76 B | |||
| Working Capital | (646.16 M) | |||
| Current Asset | 310.95 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 208.02 M | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |||
| Five Year Return | 1.10 % | |||
| Net Asset | 2.39 B | |||
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.15 |
About Choice Hotels Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Choice Hotels International's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Choice Hotels using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Choice Hotels International based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Choice Hotels Investors Sentiment
The influence of Choice Hotels' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Choice. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Choice Hotels' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Choice. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Choice can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Choice Hotels International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Choice Hotels' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Choice Hotels' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Choice Hotels' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Choice Hotels.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Choice Hotels in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Choice Hotels' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Choice Hotels options trading.
Pair Trading with Choice Hotels
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Choice Hotels position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Choice Hotels will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Choice Hotels could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Choice Hotels when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Choice Hotels - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Choice Hotels International to buy it.
The correlation of Choice Hotels is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Choice Hotels moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Choice Hotels Intern moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Choice Hotels can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Choice Hotels Piotroski F Score and Choice Hotels Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Choice Hotels Intern information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Choice Hotels' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Choice Stock analysis
When running Choice Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Choice Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Choice Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Choice Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Choice Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Choice Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Choice Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Choice Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Choice Hotels. If investors know Choice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Choice Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | Dividend Share 1.15 | Earnings Share 5.07 | Revenue Per Share 14.646 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
The market value of Choice Hotels Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Choice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Choice Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Choice Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Choice Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Choice Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Choice Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Choice Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Choice Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.