Cheetah Mobile Stock Beneish M Score

CMCM Stock  USD 3.96  0.10  2.46%   
This module uses fundamental data of Cheetah Mobile to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Cheetah Mobile M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Cheetah Mobile Piotroski F Score and Cheetah Mobile Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Cheetah Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cheetah Mobile guide.
  
At this time, Cheetah Mobile's Net Debt To EBITDA is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of April 2024, Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is likely to grow to 16.06, while Net Debt is likely to drop (2.1 B). At this time, Cheetah Mobile's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of April 2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 1.98, while PTB Ratio is likely to drop 0.18.
At this time, it appears that Cheetah Mobile is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Cheetah Mobile's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Cheetah Mobile executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Cheetah Mobile's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.23
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.87

Focus
Asset Quality

1.02

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.53

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.19

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.53

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.76

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.36

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

-0.67

Focus

Cheetah Mobile Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Cheetah Mobile's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables559.8 M472.6 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue907.3 M669.5 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets5.4 B5.6 B
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets3.3 B3.5 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total2.1 B2.2 B
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment95.6 M113.1 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative165.7 M229.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.6 B2.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total340.4 M244.5 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt17.4 M18.3 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments971.9 KM
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments1.4 B937.5 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.780.6536
Fairly Up
Very volatile

Cheetah Mobile Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Cheetah Mobile's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Cheetah Mobile in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Cheetah Mobile's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Cheetah Mobile Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Total Assets

5.38 Billion

At this time, Cheetah Mobile's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year.

Cheetah Mobile Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Cheetah Mobile. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables782.3M702.5M428.1M591.4M472.6M559.8M
Total Revenue724.2M3.6B1.6B784.6M669.5M907.3M
Total Assets8.3B7.0B5.6B5.0B5.6B5.4B
Total Current Assets5.6B4.0B2.9B2.6B3.5B3.3B
Net Debt(2.8B)(924.5M)(1.3B)(1.5B)(2.0B)(2.1B)
Short Term Debt147.9M58.5M6.9M17.5M18.3M17.4M
Operating Income69.8M(565.2M)(531.1M)(229.6M)(209.8M)(199.3M)
Investments(1.1B)1.8B274.4M189.1M(49.1M)(46.6M)

About Cheetah Mobile Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Cheetah Mobile's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Cheetah Mobile using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cheetah Mobile based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Cheetah Mobile in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Cheetah Mobile's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Cheetah Mobile options trading.

Pair Trading with Cheetah Mobile

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cheetah Mobile position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cheetah Mobile will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cheetah Mobile could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cheetah Mobile when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cheetah Mobile - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cheetah Mobile to buy it.
The correlation of Cheetah Mobile is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cheetah Mobile moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cheetah Mobile moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cheetah Mobile can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
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When determining whether Cheetah Mobile is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheetah Mobile's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheetah Mobile's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheetah Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cheetah Mobile Piotroski F Score and Cheetah Mobile Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Cheetah Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cheetah Mobile guide.
Note that the Cheetah Mobile information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cheetah Mobile's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is Cheetah Mobile's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheetah Mobile. If investors know Cheetah will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cheetah Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
(2.83)
Revenue Per Share
22.732
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.37)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Cheetah Mobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cheetah that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cheetah Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cheetah Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cheetah Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cheetah Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheetah Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheetah Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheetah Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.