Cvs Health Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CVS Stock  USD 68.60  0.43  0.62%   
CVS Health's odds of distress is under 30% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial trouble in the near future. CVS Health's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting CVS Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the CVS balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out CVS Health Piotroski F Score and CVS Health Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Market Cap is likely to gain to about 95.9 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 91.1 B in 2024

CVS Health Corp Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

CVS Health's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current CVS Health Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 30%  
Most of CVS Health's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, CVS Health Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of CVS Health probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting CVS Health odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of CVS Health Corp financial health.
Is CVS Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CVS Health. If investors know CVS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CVS Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Dividend Share
2.42
Earnings Share
6.47
Revenue Per Share
277.528
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.12
The market value of CVS Health Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CVS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CVS Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CVS Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CVS Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CVS Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CVS Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVS Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVS Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CVS Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for CVS Health is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of CVS Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since CVS Health's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of CVS Health's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of CVS Health's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, CVS Health Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 30.0%. This is 30.7% lower than that of the Health Care Providers & Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 24.68% higher than that of the company.

CVS Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses CVS Health's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of CVS Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CVS Health by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
CVS Health is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

CVS Health Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.02980.03110.03430.01890.03340.0646
Asset Turnover1.151.161.251.411.432.23
Net Debt83.3B77.2B66.6B57.8B71.2B74.7B
Total Current Liabilities53.3B62.0B67.8B69.7B79.2B83.1B
Non Current Liabilities Total105.0B99.0B89.8B87.2B93.9B98.6B
Total Assets222.4B230.7B233.0B228.3B249.7B262.2B
Total Current Assets50.3B56.4B60.0B65.7B67.9B71.3B
Total Cash From Operating Activities12.8B15.9B18.3B16.2B13.4B14.1B

CVS Health ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, CVS Health's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to CVS Health's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

CVS Fundamentals

About CVS Health Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze CVS Health Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of CVS Health using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of CVS Health Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with CVS Health

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CVS Health position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CVS Health will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CVS Health could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CVS Health when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CVS Health - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CVS Health Corp to buy it.
The correlation of CVS Health is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CVS Health moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CVS Health Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CVS Health can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether CVS Health Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze CVS Health's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CVS Health's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CVS Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CVS Health Piotroski F Score and CVS Health Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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When running CVS Health's price analysis, check to measure CVS Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVS Health is operating at the current time. Most of CVS Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVS Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVS Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVS Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CVS Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CVS Health. If investors know CVS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CVS Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Dividend Share
2.42
Earnings Share
6.47
Revenue Per Share
277.528
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.12
The market value of CVS Health Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CVS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CVS Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CVS Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CVS Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CVS Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CVS Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CVS Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CVS Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.