Community Health Systems Stock Beneish M Score

CYH Stock  USD 2.91  0.09  3.00%   
This module uses fundamental data of Community Health to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Community Health M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Community Health Piotroski F Score and Community Health Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The Community Health's current Long Term Debt Total is estimated to increase to about 14 B, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to decrease to under 9.5 B. As of now, Community Health's EV To Sales is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Community Health's current Days Of Inventory On Hand is estimated to increase to 29.21, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.03.
At this time, it appears that Community Health Systems is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Community Health's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Community Health executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Community Health's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.25
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.95

Focus
Asset Quality

1.08

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.09

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.35

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.09

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.81

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.87

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.81

Focus

Community Health Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Community Health's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.9 B2.2 B
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Total Revenue10.9 B12.5 B
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Total Assets13.9 B14.5 B
Sufficiently Down
Very volatile
Total Current Assets2.9 B3.2 B
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total10.9 B11.2 B
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Property Plant Equipment5.6 B6.2 B
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Depreciation And Amortization581.3 M505 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative303.1 M319 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.8 B2.1 B
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total10.6 B13.1 B
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Net Debt9.2 B12.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt123.3 M145 M
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt9.6 B11.5 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments225.6 M179.1 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.550.4069
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

Community Health Systems Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Community Health's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Community Health in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Community Health's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Community Health Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

10.06 Billion

As of now, Community Health's Other Operating Expenses is increasing as compared to previous years.

Community Health Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Community Health. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables2.3B1.9B2.1B2.0B2.2B1.9B
Total Revenue13.2B11.8B12.4B12.2B12.5B10.9B
Total Assets15.6B16.0B15.2B14.7B14.5B13.9B
Total Current Assets3.4B4.5B3.5B3.1B3.2B2.9B
Net Debt13.8B11.2B12.3B12.3B12.1B9.2B
Short Term Debt156M265M178M169M145M123.3M
Long Term Debt13.4B12.1B12.1B11.6B11.5B9.6B
Operating Income896M1.1B1.4B821M957M633.3M
Investments12M16M34M(259M)(258M)(245.1M)

About Community Health Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Community Health Systems's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Community Health using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Community Health Systems based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Community Health Investors Sentiment

The influence of Community Health's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Community. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Community Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Community. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Community can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Community Health Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Community Health's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Community Health's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Community Health's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Community Health.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Community Health in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Community Health's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Community Health options trading.

Pair Trading with Community Health

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Community Health position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Community Health will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Community Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Community Health could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Community Health when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Community Health - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Community Health Systems to buy it.
The correlation of Community Health is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Community Health moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Community Health Systems moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Community Health can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Community Health Systems offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Community Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Community Health Systems Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Community Health Systems Stock:
Check out Community Health Piotroski F Score and Community Health Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Community Health's price analysis, check to measure Community Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Community Health is operating at the current time. Most of Community Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Community Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Community Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Community Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Community Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Community Health. If investors know Community will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Community Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
(1.02)
Revenue Per Share
95.749
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
Return On Assets
0.0373
The market value of Community Health Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Community that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Community Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Community Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Community Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Community Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Community Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Community Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Community Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.