Amcon Distributing Stock Beneish M Score

DIT Stock  USD 175.49  2.22  1.28%   
This module uses fundamental data of AMCON Distributing to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. AMCON Distributing M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out AMCON Distributing Piotroski F Score and AMCON Distributing Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy AMCON Stock please use our How to Invest in AMCON Distributing guide.
  
At this time, AMCON Distributing's Short and Long Term Debt Total is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Debt is likely to gain to about 213.4 M in 2024, whereas Debt To Assets are likely to drop 0.45 in 2024. At this time, AMCON Distributing's Net Income Per Share is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is likely to gain to 0.07 in 2024, whereas PTB Ratio is likely to drop 1.02 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that AMCON Distributing is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if AMCON Distributing's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by AMCON Distributing executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of AMCON Distributing's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.34
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.95

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.07

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

AMCON Distributing Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if AMCON Distributing's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables87.8 M83.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue3.1 B2.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets438.8 M417.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets296.6 M282.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total142.2 M135.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment82.1 M78.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization9.1 M8.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative165.8 M157.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities92.5 M88.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total220.5 M210 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt213.4 M203.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt4.2 M7.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt183.7 M174.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income31.4 M29.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.08270.0774
Notably Up
Slightly volatile

AMCON Distributing Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between AMCON Distributing's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards AMCON Distributing in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find AMCON Distributing's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About AMCON Distributing Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

3.04 Billion

At this time, AMCON Distributing's Other Operating Expenses is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

AMCON Distributing Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as AMCON Distributing. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables34.3M35.8M63.2M72.7M83.6M87.8M
Total Revenue1.5B1.7B2.0B2.5B2.9B3.1B
Total Assets188.0M188.4M289.1M363.4M417.9M438.8M
Total Current Assets136.0M136.6M211.0M245.7M282.5M296.6M
Net Debt84.1M66.9M120.1M176.7M203.3M213.4M
Short Term Debt6.1M6.1M8.0M8.0M7.2M4.2M
Long Term Debt62.0M48.7M98.6M152.1M174.9M183.7M
Operating Income9.1M17.8M22.6M26.0M29.9M31.4M
Investments(10M)(1.5M)(14.4M)(66.3M)(59.6M)(56.7M)
Gross Profit Margin0.06030.05770.06010.06350.07740.0827

About AMCON Distributing Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze AMCON Distributing's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AMCON Distributing using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMCON Distributing based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AMCON Distributing in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AMCON Distributing's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AMCON Distributing options trading.

Pair Trading with AMCON Distributing

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AMCON Distributing position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AMCON Distributing will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to AMCON Distributing could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AMCON Distributing when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AMCON Distributing - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AMCON Distributing to buy it.
The correlation of AMCON Distributing is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AMCON Distributing moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AMCON Distributing moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AMCON Distributing can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether AMCON Distributing is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if AMCON Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Amcon Distributing Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Amcon Distributing Stock:
Check out AMCON Distributing Piotroski F Score and AMCON Distributing Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy AMCON Stock please use our How to Invest in AMCON Distributing guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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Is AMCON Distributing's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMCON Distributing. If investors know AMCON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMCON Distributing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Dividend Share
0.72
Earnings Share
16.78
Revenue Per Share
3.5 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.163
The market value of AMCON Distributing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMCON that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMCON Distributing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMCON Distributing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMCON Distributing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMCON Distributing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMCON Distributing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMCON Distributing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMCON Distributing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.