Darden Restaurants Stock Beneish M Score

DRI Stock  USD 152.29  0.68  0.44%   
This module uses fundamental data of Darden Restaurants to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Darden Restaurants M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Darden Restaurants Piotroski F Score and Darden Restaurants Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Darden Stock please use our How to Invest in Darden Restaurants guide.
  
As of now, Darden Restaurants' Long Term Debt Total is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Darden Restaurants' current Net Debt To EBITDA is estimated to increase to 4.18, while Short Term Debt is projected to decrease to under 182.1 M. As of now, Darden Restaurants' Free Cash Flow Yield is increasing as compared to previous years. The Darden Restaurants' current Invested Capital is estimated to increase to 2.47, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.79.
At this time, it appears that Darden Restaurants is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Darden Restaurants' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Darden Restaurants executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Darden Restaurants' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.79
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.11

Focus
Asset Quality

1.13

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.18

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.33

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.18

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.54

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.56

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.85

Focus

Darden Restaurants Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Darden Restaurants' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables57.2 M92.2 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue6.8 B12.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets12.4 B11.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets753.5 M1.1 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total11.2 B10.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment8.6 B8.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization281.9 M421.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative542.1 M444 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.2 B2.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total7.4 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt5.1 B4.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.2 BB
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.9 B1.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.240.1804
Significantly Up
Very volatile

Darden Restaurants Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Darden Restaurants' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Darden Restaurants in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Darden Restaurants' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Darden Restaurants Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

6.18 Billion

As of now, Darden Restaurants' Other Operating Expenses is increasing as compared to previous years.

Darden Restaurants Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Darden Restaurants. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables49.8M68.2M72M80.2M92.2M57.2M
Total Revenue7.8B7.2B9.6B10.5B12.1B6.8B
Total Assets9.9B10.7B10.1B10.2B11.8B12.4B
Total Current Assets1.1B1.9B1.2B997.7M1.1B753.5M
Net Debt4.7B3.8B4.4B4.2B4.8B5.1B
Short Term Debt270M184.1M202.5M246.7M283.7M182.1M
Long Term Debt928.8M929.8M901M884.9M1.0B1.2B
Operating Income828.3M648.7M1.2B1.2B1.4B1.5B
Investments(544M)(263.7M)(389M)(568.4M)(511.6M)(486.0M)

Darden Restaurants ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Darden Restaurants' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Darden Restaurants' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Darden Restaurants Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Darden Restaurants's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Darden Restaurants using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Darden Restaurants based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Darden Restaurants Investors Sentiment

The influence of Darden Restaurants' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Darden. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Darden Restaurants' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Darden. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Darden can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Darden Restaurants. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Darden Restaurants' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Darden Restaurants' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Darden Restaurants' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Darden Restaurants.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Darden Restaurants in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Darden Restaurants' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Darden Restaurants options trading.

Pair Trading with Darden Restaurants

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Darden Restaurants position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Darden Restaurants will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Darden Stock

  0.84DIN Dine Brands Global Financial Report 1st of May 2024 PairCorr

Moving against Darden Stock

  0.43WEN The Wendys Financial Report 8th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.43GENK GEN Restaurant GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Darden Restaurants could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Darden Restaurants when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Darden Restaurants - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Darden Restaurants to buy it.
The correlation of Darden Restaurants is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Darden Restaurants moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Darden Restaurants moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Darden Restaurants can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Darden Restaurants offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Darden Restaurants' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Darden Restaurants Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Darden Restaurants Stock:
Check out Darden Restaurants Piotroski F Score and Darden Restaurants Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Darden Stock please use our How to Invest in Darden Restaurants guide.
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Is Darden Restaurants' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Darden Restaurants. If investors know Darden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Darden Restaurants listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.11
Dividend Share
5.14
Earnings Share
8.54
Revenue Per Share
93.095
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.068
The market value of Darden Restaurants is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Darden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Darden Restaurants' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Darden Restaurants' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Darden Restaurants' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Darden Restaurants' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Darden Restaurants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Darden Restaurants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Darden Restaurants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.