Eastside Distilling Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

EAST Stock  USD 0.94  0.04  4.08%   
Eastside Distilling's odds of distress is above 80% at this time. It has very high probability of going through financial trouble in the upcoming years. Bankruptcy prediction helps decision makers evaluate Eastside Distilling's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Eastside balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Eastside Distilling Piotroski F Score and Eastside Distilling Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Eastside Stock please use our How to Invest in Eastside Distilling guide.
  

Eastside Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Eastside Distilling's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Eastside Distilling Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 83%  
Most of Eastside Distilling's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Eastside Distilling is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Eastside Distilling probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Eastside Distilling odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Eastside Distilling financial health.
Is Eastside Distilling's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eastside Distilling. If investors know Eastside will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eastside Distilling listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(18.58)
Revenue Per Share
12.103
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.002
Return On Assets
(0.14)
Return On Equity
(2.60)
The market value of Eastside Distilling is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eastside that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eastside Distilling's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eastside Distilling's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eastside Distilling's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eastside Distilling's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eastside Distilling's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eastside Distilling is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eastside Distilling's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Eastside Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Eastside Distilling is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Eastside Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Eastside Distilling's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Eastside Distilling's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Eastside Distilling's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Eastside Distilling has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 83%. This is 129.41% higher than that of the Beverages sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 108.39% lower than that of the firm.

Eastside Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Eastside Distilling's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Eastside Distilling could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eastside Distilling by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Eastside Distilling is rated # 2 in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Eastside Distilling Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.36)(0.26)(0.13)(0.76)(0.69)(0.72)
Gross Profit Margin0.350.330.230.180.20.19
Net Debt8.9M12.4M14.8M18.3M21.0M22.1M
Total Current Liabilities6.1M30.3M9.5M13.0M15.0M15.7M
Non Current Liabilities Total22.4M2.6M10.7M10.0M11.5M12.1M
Total Assets35.9M31.7M33.6M21.5M24.7M15.0M
Total Current Assets14.5M12.8M14.1M6.6M7.6M7.7M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(9.1M)(3.0M)(5.9M)(877K)(2.7M)(2.9M)

Eastside Fundamentals

About Eastside Distilling Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Eastside Distilling's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Eastside Distilling using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eastside Distilling based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Eastside Distilling, Inc. manufactures, acquires, blends, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells various alcoholic beverages. Eastside Distilling, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Portland, Oregon. Eastside Distilling operates under BeveragesWineries Distilleries classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 69 people.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Eastside Distilling in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Eastside Distilling's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Eastside Distilling options trading.

Pair Trading with Eastside Distilling

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Eastside Distilling position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Eastside Distilling will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Eastside Distilling could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Eastside Distilling when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Eastside Distilling - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Eastside Distilling to buy it.
The correlation of Eastside Distilling is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Eastside Distilling moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Eastside Distilling moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Eastside Distilling can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Eastside Distilling is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Eastside Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Eastside Distilling Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Eastside Distilling Stock:
Check out Eastside Distilling Piotroski F Score and Eastside Distilling Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Eastside Stock please use our How to Invest in Eastside Distilling guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Eastside Distilling's price analysis, check to measure Eastside Distilling's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eastside Distilling is operating at the current time. Most of Eastside Distilling's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eastside Distilling's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eastside Distilling's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eastside Distilling to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eastside Distilling's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eastside Distilling. If investors know Eastside will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eastside Distilling listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(18.58)
Revenue Per Share
12.103
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.002
Return On Assets
(0.14)
Return On Equity
(2.60)
The market value of Eastside Distilling is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eastside that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eastside Distilling's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eastside Distilling's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eastside Distilling's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eastside Distilling's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eastside Distilling's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eastside Distilling is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eastside Distilling's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.