Esco Technologies Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ESE Stock  USD 105.94  2.60  2.52%   
ESCO Technologies' odds of distress is less than 5% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. ESCO Technologies' Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting ESCO Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the ESCO balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out ESCO Technologies Piotroski F Score and ESCO Technologies Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade ESCO Stock refer to our How to Trade ESCO Stock guide.
  

ESCO Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

ESCO Technologies' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Gross Profit332.0M375.7M432.0M453.6M
Total Revenue857.5M956.0M1.1B599.8M

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current ESCO Technologies Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 5%  
Most of ESCO Technologies' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, ESCO Technologies is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of ESCO Technologies probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting ESCO Technologies odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of ESCO Technologies financial health.
Is ESCO Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ESCO Technologies. If investors know ESCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ESCO Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Dividend Share
0.32
Earnings Share
3.6
Revenue Per Share
37.573
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.088
The market value of ESCO Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ESCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ESCO Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ESCO Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ESCO Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ESCO Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ESCO Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ESCO Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ESCO Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ESCO Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for ESCO Technologies is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of ESCO Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since ESCO Technologies' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of ESCO Technologies' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of ESCO Technologies' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, ESCO Technologies has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 87.64% lower than that of the Machinery sector and 85.64% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

ESCO Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses ESCO Technologies' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of ESCO Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ESCO Technologies by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
ESCO Technologies is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

ESCO Technologies Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01850.04030.04980.0550.04950.027
Net Debt26.6M125.8M80.1M96.7M111.2M57.5M
Total Current Liabilities256.0M277.8M318.1M314.7M361.8M379.9M
Non Current Liabilities Total155.9M279.9M288.2M237.4M273.0M152.4M
Total Assets1.4B1.6B1.7B1.7B1.9B2.0B
Total Current Assets446.6M466.2M572.6M581.1M668.3M701.7M
Total Cash From Operating Activities82.3M123.1M135.3M76.9M88.4M56.8M

ESCO Fundamentals

About ESCO Technologies Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze ESCO Technologies's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of ESCO Technologies using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of ESCO Technologies based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
ESCO Technologies Inc. produces and supplies engineered products and systems for industrial and commercial markets worldwide. The company distributes its products through a network of distributors, sales representatives, direct sales teams, and in-house sales personnel. Esco Technologies is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States.

ESCO Technologies Investors Sentiment

The influence of ESCO Technologies' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in ESCO. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to ESCO Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ESCO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ESCO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ESCO Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
ESCO Technologies' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for ESCO Technologies' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average ESCO Technologies' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on ESCO Technologies.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ESCO Technologies in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ESCO Technologies' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ESCO Technologies options trading.

Pair Trading with ESCO Technologies

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ESCO Technologies position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ESCO Technologies will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with ESCO Stock

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Moving against ESCO Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to ESCO Technologies could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ESCO Technologies when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ESCO Technologies - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ESCO Technologies to buy it.
The correlation of ESCO Technologies is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ESCO Technologies moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ESCO Technologies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ESCO Technologies can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether ESCO Technologies is a strong investment it is important to analyze ESCO Technologies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ESCO Technologies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ESCO Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out ESCO Technologies Piotroski F Score and ESCO Technologies Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade ESCO Stock refer to our How to Trade ESCO Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for ESCO Stock analysis

When running ESCO Technologies' price analysis, check to measure ESCO Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ESCO Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of ESCO Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ESCO Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ESCO Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ESCO Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ESCO Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ESCO Technologies. If investors know ESCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ESCO Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Dividend Share
0.32
Earnings Share
3.6
Revenue Per Share
37.573
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.088
The market value of ESCO Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ESCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ESCO Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ESCO Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ESCO Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ESCO Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ESCO Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ESCO Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ESCO Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.