First American Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

FAF Stock  USD 58.18  1.08  1.89%   
First American's threat of distress is below 1% at the present time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial distress in the next two years. First American's Chance of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting First Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the First balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out First American Piotroski F Score and First American Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in First Stock please use our How to Invest in First American guide.
  

First American Company chance of financial distress Analysis

First American's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current First American Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 1%  
Most of First American's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, First American is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of First American probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting First American odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of First American financial health.
Is First American's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First American. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Dividend Share
2.1
Earnings Share
2.07
Revenue Per Share
57.56
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
The market value of First American is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

First Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for First American is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of First Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since First American's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of First American's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of First American's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, First American has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 98.0% lower than that of the Insurance sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

First Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses First American's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of First American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First American by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
First American is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

First American Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.04440.05430.07540.01340.01290.0197
Asset Turnover0.440.40.390.560.360.62
Net Debt(201.0M)(264.7M)1.2B1.1B(2.2B)(2.1B)
Total Current Liabilities497.0M572.2M625M258M1.3B1.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total1.4B1.6B2.5B614M2.2B2.3B
Total Assets15.9B12.8B16.5B19.6B16.8B12.1B
Total Current Assets2.2B2.4B2.2B10.2B3.6B2.3B
Total Cash From Operating Activities913.1M1.1B1.2B780M354.3M553.3M

First Fundamentals

About First American Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze First American's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of First American using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of First American based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether First American is a strong investment it is important to analyze First American's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First American's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out First American Piotroski F Score and First American Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in First Stock please use our How to Invest in First American guide.
Note that the First American information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First American's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First American's price analysis, check to measure First American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First American is operating at the current time. Most of First American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is First American's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First American. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Dividend Share
2.1
Earnings Share
2.07
Revenue Per Share
57.56
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
The market value of First American is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.