American Probability Of Bankruptcy

FDBTX -  USA Fund  

USD 13.60  0.09  0.67%

American Funds 2015 Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. American Funds 2015 Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting American Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the American balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check American Funds Piotroski F Score and American Funds Altman Z Score analysis.

American Probability Of Bankruptcy 

 
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American Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

American Funds' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
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Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
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Current American Funds Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  1%  
Most of American Funds' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, American Funds 2015 is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of American Funds probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting American Funds odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of American Funds 2015 financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Funds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
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American Funds Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, American Funds 2015 has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is much higher than that of the American Funds family and significantly higher than that of the Target-Date 2015 category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses American Funds' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of American Funds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Funds by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
American Funds is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

American Fundamentals

About American Funds Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze American Funds 2015's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of American Funds using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Funds 2015 based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The investment seeks growth, income and conservation of capital. American Funds is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

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Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in American Funds without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as American Funds 2015 using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please check American Funds Piotroski F Score and American Funds Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the American Funds 2015 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Funds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Complementary Tools for American Mutual Fund analysis

When running American Funds 2015 price analysis, check to measure American Funds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Funds is operating at the current time. Most of American Funds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Funds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Funds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Funds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between American Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Funds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.