First Probability Of Bankruptcy

FEHCX -  USA Fund  

USD 8.98  0.01  0.11%

First Eagle High Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. First Eagle High Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting First Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the First balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check First Eagle Piotroski F Score and First Eagle Altman Z Score analysis.

First Probability Of Bankruptcy 

 
Refresh

First Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

First Eagle's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current First Eagle Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  1%  
Most of First Eagle's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, First Eagle High is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of First Eagle probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting First Eagle odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of First Eagle High financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine First Eagle value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

First Eagle Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, First Eagle High has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is much higher than that of the First Eagle family and significantly higher than that of the High Yield Bond category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.
  Chance Of Financial Distress
Less than 1
First Eagle High has less than 1 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for First Eagle mutual fund is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity. More Info

First Fundamentals

About First Eagle Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze First Eagle High's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of First Eagle using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Eagle High based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
To pursue its investment objective, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in debt instruments that are below investment grade, commonly known as high yield or junk bonds. First Eagle is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

First Eagle Investors Sentiment

The influence of First Eagle's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in First. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - FEHCX

First Eagle High Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are insensible in their opinion about investing in First Eagle High. What is your opinion about investing in First Eagle High? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish
Skip

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as First Eagle High using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Please check First Eagle Piotroski F Score and First Eagle Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the First Eagle High information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First Eagle's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for First Mutual Fund analysis

When running First Eagle High price analysis, check to measure First Eagle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Eagle is operating at the current time. Most of First Eagle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Eagle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Eagle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Eagle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine First Eagle value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.