Fairfax Financial Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

FFH Stock  CAD 1,508  21.83  1.47%   
This module uses fundamental data of Fairfax Financial to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Fairfax Financial M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fairfax Financial Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
At this time, Fairfax Financial's Long Term Debt To Capitalization is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of April 2024, Total Debt To Capitalization is likely to grow to 0.39, while Long Term Debt is likely to drop about 6.8 B. At this time, Fairfax Financial's ROIC is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of April 2024, Net Income Per Share is likely to grow to 183.99, while Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 34.37.
At this time, Fairfax Financial's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Fairfax Financial's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Fairfax Financial executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Fairfax Financial's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.31
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

0.9

Focus
Asset Quality

1.04

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.75

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.15

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.75

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.58

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.87

Focus

Fairfax Financial Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Fairfax Financial's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables879.8 M926.1 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue27.1 B25.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets96.6 B92 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets43.5 B41.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total61.2 B58.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment1.7 B3.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization825.4 M786.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative1.2 B1.5 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities8.5 B9.9 B
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total13.2 B12.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt837.3 M797.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt6.8 B8.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments2.1 B2.2 B
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments32.9 B57.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin1.070.9334
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable

Fairfax Financial Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Fairfax Financial's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Fairfax Financial in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Fairfax Financial's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Fairfax Financial Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

825.45 Million

At this time, Fairfax Financial's Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Fairfax Financial Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Fairfax Financial. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables16.1B16.3B19.0B21.0B926.1M879.8M
Total Revenue21.2B19.8B246.7M25.8B25.8B27.1B
Total Assets70.5B74.1B86.6B92.1B92.0B96.6B
Total Current Assets26.7B32.7B42.9B36.1B41.5B43.5B
Net Debt4.4B(7.5B)(16.9B)(2.4B)4.0B4.2B
Short Term Debt853.4M1.7B647.6M693.4M797.4M837.3M
Long Term Debt7.2B8.8B7.8B8.6B8.9B6.8B
Operating Income2.7B901M4.6B1.3B1.5B1.7B
Investments(1.2B)(46.8M)633.8M384.8M92M96.6M

Fairfax Financial ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Fairfax Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Fairfax Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Fairfax Financial Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Fairfax Financial Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Fairfax Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fairfax Financial Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fairfax Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fairfax Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fairfax Financial options trading.

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Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fairfax Financial Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Note that the Fairfax Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fairfax Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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When running Fairfax Financial's price analysis, check to measure Fairfax Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fairfax Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Fairfax Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fairfax Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fairfax Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fairfax Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fairfax Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fairfax Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fairfax Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.