Alfa Energi Investama Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| FIRE Stock | IDR 95.00 1.00 1.06% |
Alfa |
Alfa Energi Investama Company odds of financial distress Analysis
Alfa Energi's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Alfa Energi Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 30% |
Most of Alfa Energi's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Alfa Energi Investama is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Alfa Energi probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Alfa Energi odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Alfa Energi Investama financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Alfa Energi Investama has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 30.0%. This is 37.79% lower than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and significantly higher than that of the Energy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Indonesia stocks is 24.68% higher than that of the company.
Alfa Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Alfa Energi's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Alfa Energi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alfa Energi by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Alfa Energi is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Alfa Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.23 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0871 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.25) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.23) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 327.69 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.47 B | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 54.28 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 9.00 % | |||
| Price To Earning | 72.97 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.99 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.91 X | |||
| Revenue | 841.15 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 222.03 B | |||
| EBITDA | (43.83 B) | |||
| Net Income | (45.85 B) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 63.74 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 43.31 X | |||
| Total Debt | 18.19 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.25 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.26 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 200.13 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 22.15 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (38.60) X | |||
| Number Of Employees | 68 | |||
| Beta | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 160.41 B | |||
| Total Asset | 494.25 B | |||
| Z Score | 5.8 | |||
| Net Asset | 494.25 B |
About Alfa Energi Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Alfa Energi Investama's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Alfa Energi using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alfa Energi Investama based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Alfa Energi in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Alfa Energi's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Alfa Energi options trading.
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Complementary Tools for Alfa Stock analysis
When running Alfa Energi's price analysis, check to measure Alfa Energi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alfa Energi is operating at the current time. Most of Alfa Energi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alfa Energi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alfa Energi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alfa Energi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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