Federal Signal Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Name: Federal Signal Next Financial Report
Start: 2024-05-07
End: 2024-05-07
Location: Federal Signal

FSS Stock

USD 81.52 1.07 1.30%

Federal Signal's odds of distress is less than 3% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial straits in the next 24 months. Federal Signal's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Federal Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Federal balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Federal Signal Piotroski F Score and Federal Signal Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Federal Stock please use our How to Invest in Federal Signal guide.

Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 802.5 M in 2024, whereas Market Cap is likely to drop slightly above 282 M in 2024.

Federal Signal Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Federal Signal's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Federal Signal Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 3%

Most of Federal Signal's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Federal Signal is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Federal Signal probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Federal Signal odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Federal Signal financial health.

Is Federal Signal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Signal. If investors know Federal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Federal Signal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.314

Dividend Share

0.39

Earnings Share

2.56

Revenue Per Share

28.381

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.145

The market value of Federal Signal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Federal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Federal Signal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Federal Signal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Federal Signal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Federal Signal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Accounts Payable	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Long Term Investments	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.82	0.79	0.81	0.9	0.87	0.96	0.35	0.53	0.82	0.81	0.8	-0.84	0.73	-0.31	0.81	0.65	0.63	0.93	0.37	-0.36	-0.03	0.81	-0.75	0.77	0.41
Total Stockholder Equity	0.82		0.63	1.0	0.79	0.64	0.81	0.45	0.54	0.68	0.63	0.58	-0.93	0.64	-0.03	0.74	0.9	0.73	0.9	0.22	-0.24	0.06	0.87	-0.74	0.82	0.81
Net Debt	0.79	0.63		0.63	0.88	0.92	0.69	0.44	0.42	0.79	0.51	0.96	-0.71	0.67	-0.09	0.84	0.33	0.84	0.67	0.56	-0.63	-0.22	0.7	-0.59	0.65	0.49
Retained Earnings	0.81	1.0	0.63		0.78	0.63	0.8	0.44	0.5	0.64	0.6	0.6	-0.95	0.67	0.02	0.76	0.89	0.75	0.91	0.25	-0.23	0.06	0.88	-0.74	0.83	0.81
Net Receivables	0.9	0.79	0.88	0.78		0.89	0.89	0.55	0.59	0.86	0.67	0.83	-0.77	0.61	-0.17	0.82	0.61	0.78	0.84	0.51	-0.53	-0.03	0.85	-0.69	0.82	0.55
Total Liab	0.87	0.64	0.92	0.63	0.89		0.8	0.37	0.4	0.9	0.76	0.87	-0.66	0.56	-0.39	0.71	0.39	0.68	0.69	0.49	-0.51	-0.12	0.65	-0.57	0.61	0.4
Total Current Assets	0.96	0.81	0.69	0.8	0.89	0.8		0.44	0.5	0.78	0.8	0.7	-0.8	0.61	-0.27	0.72	0.74	0.58	0.93	0.28	-0.26	0.09	0.86	-0.75	0.85	0.45
Short Term Debt	0.35	0.45	0.44	0.44	0.55	0.37	0.44		0.45	0.35	0.14	0.35	-0.38	0.13	0.25	0.42	0.47	0.54	0.4	0.08	-0.43	0.46	0.66	-0.53	0.68	0.63
Intangible Assets	0.53	0.54	0.42	0.5	0.59	0.4	0.5	0.45		0.61	0.45	0.33	-0.38	0.37	-0.21	0.47	0.45	0.3	0.46	0.03	-0.57	-0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.41	0.32
Accounts Payable	0.82	0.68	0.79	0.64	0.86	0.9	0.78	0.35	0.61		0.82	0.68	-0.59	0.51	-0.48	0.59	0.48	0.54	0.64	0.29	-0.5	-0.23	0.6	-0.47	0.53	0.43
Common Stock	0.81	0.63	0.51	0.6	0.67	0.76	0.8	0.14	0.45	0.82		0.44	-0.55	0.4	-0.76	0.34	0.57	0.23	0.65	0.01	-0.04	-0.03	0.48	-0.45	0.45	0.24
Long Term Debt	0.8	0.58	0.96	0.6	0.83	0.87	0.7	0.35	0.33	0.68	0.44		-0.73	0.7	0.0	0.89	0.29	0.82	0.7	0.64	-0.59	-0.17	0.7	-0.6	0.66	0.38
Treasury Stock	-0.84	-0.93	-0.71	-0.95	-0.77	-0.66	-0.8	-0.38	-0.38	-0.59	-0.55	-0.73		-0.77	-0.07	-0.83	-0.79	-0.78	-0.92	-0.3	0.21	-0.02	-0.88	0.74	-0.84	-0.71
Property Plant Equipment	0.73	0.64	0.67	0.67	0.61	0.56	0.61	0.13	0.37	0.51	0.4	0.7	-0.77		0.05	0.8	0.35	0.6	0.75	0.2	-0.29	-0.4	0.65	-0.62	0.52	0.34
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.31	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.17	-0.39	-0.27	0.25	-0.21	-0.48	-0.76	0.0	-0.07	0.05		0.22	-0.02	0.33	-0.04	0.17	-0.17	0.09	0.18	-0.08	0.18	0.3
Good Will	0.81	0.74	0.84	0.76	0.82	0.71	0.72	0.42	0.47	0.59	0.34	0.89	-0.83	0.8	0.22		0.48	0.86	0.83	0.62	-0.63	-0.07	0.81	-0.71	0.76	0.51
Net Tangible Assets	0.65	0.9	0.33	0.89	0.61	0.39	0.74	0.47	0.45	0.48	0.57	0.29	-0.79	0.35	-0.02	0.48		0.5	0.79	0.03	0.02	0.31	0.8	-0.66	0.81	0.76
Long Term Debt Total	0.63	0.73	0.84	0.75	0.78	0.68	0.58	0.54	0.3	0.54	0.23	0.82	-0.78	0.6	0.33	0.86	0.5		0.7	0.61	-0.54	-0.06	0.8	-0.59	0.77	0.77
Capital Surpluse	0.93	0.9	0.67	0.91	0.84	0.69	0.93	0.4	0.46	0.64	0.65	0.7	-0.92	0.75	-0.04	0.83	0.79	0.7		0.33	-0.23	0.06	0.91	-0.79	0.88	0.57
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.37	0.22	0.56	0.25	0.51	0.49	0.28	0.08	0.03	0.29	0.01	0.64	-0.3	0.2	0.17	0.62	0.03	0.61	0.33		-0.57	0.04	0.29	-0.24	0.32	0.14
Short Long Term Debt	-0.36	-0.24	-0.63	-0.23	-0.53	-0.51	-0.26	-0.43	-0.57	-0.5	-0.04	-0.59	0.21	-0.29	-0.17	-0.63	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-0.57		0.09	-0.31	0.29	-0.27	-0.23
Cash And Equivalents	-0.03	0.06	-0.22	0.06	-0.03	-0.12	0.09	0.46	-0.06	-0.23	-0.03	-0.17	-0.02	-0.4	0.09	-0.07	0.31	-0.06	0.06	0.04	0.09		0.12	-0.22	0.25	0.13
Net Invested Capital	0.81	0.87	0.7	0.88	0.85	0.65	0.86	0.66	0.44	0.6	0.48	0.7	-0.88	0.65	0.18	0.81	0.8	0.8	0.91	0.29	-0.31	0.12		-0.83	0.98	0.74
Long Term Investments	-0.75	-0.74	-0.59	-0.74	-0.69	-0.57	-0.75	-0.53	-0.39	-0.47	-0.45	-0.6	0.74	-0.62	-0.08	-0.71	-0.66	-0.59	-0.79	-0.24	0.29	-0.22	-0.83		-0.8	-0.53
Net Working Capital	0.77	0.82	0.65	0.83	0.82	0.61	0.85	0.68	0.41	0.53	0.45	0.66	-0.84	0.52	0.18	0.76	0.81	0.77	0.88	0.32	-0.27	0.25	0.98	-0.8		0.7
Capital Stock	0.41	0.81	0.49	0.81	0.55	0.4	0.45	0.63	0.32	0.43	0.24	0.38	-0.71	0.34	0.3	0.51	0.76	0.77	0.57	0.14	-0.23	0.13	0.74	-0.53	0.7

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0931	0.0796	0.0736	0.079	0.0971	0.0607
Net Debt	210.5M	152M	273.2M	340.9M	259.7M	216.7M
Total Current Liabilities	160.2M	148.4M	170.4M	180.5M	195.8M	206.3M
Non Current Liabilities Total	363.7M	358.3M	411.7M	482.9M	422.8M	274.9M
Total Assets	1.2B	1.2B	1.4B	1.5B	1.6B	870.8M
Total Current Assets	360.7M	405.5M	431M	531.4M	570.2M	325.3M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	103.1M	136.2M	101.8M	71.8M	194.4M	204.1M

	Return On Equity	0.17
	Return On Asset	0.0892
	Profit Margin	0.09 %
	Operating Margin	0.14 %
	Current Valuation	5.23 B
	Shares Outstanding	61.02 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.42 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	94.66 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	680.53 K
	Price To Earning	31.56 X
	Price To Book	5.09 X
	Price To Sales	2.96 X
	Revenue	1.72 B
	Gross Profit	344.9 M
	EBITDA	285.3 M
	Net Income	157.4 M
	Cash And Equivalents	47.5 M
	Cash Per Share	0.51 X
	Total Debt	320.7 M
	Debt To Equity	0.44 %
	Current Ratio	2.67 X
	Book Value Per Share	16.43 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	194.4 M
	Short Ratio	1.59 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.56 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.71 X
	Target Price	83.0
	Number Of Employees	4.5 K
	Beta	1.02
	Market Capitalization	4.97 B
	Total Asset	1.62 B
	Retained Earnings	915.8 M
	Working Capital	374.4 M
	Current Asset	315.1 M
	Current Liabilities	117.2 M
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Five Year Return	1.08 %
	Net Asset	1.62 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.39

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Federal Signal Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Federal Signal Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Federal Signal Probability Of Bankruptcy

Federal Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Federal Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Federal Signal Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Federal Fundamentals

About Federal Signal Fundamental Analysis

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