Fuel Tech Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| FTEK Stock | USD 1.12 0.02 1.82% |
Fuel | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Fuel Tech Company odds of financial distress Analysis
Fuel Tech's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Fuel Tech Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 10% |
Most of Fuel Tech's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Fuel Tech is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Fuel Tech probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Fuel Tech odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Fuel Tech financial health.
Is Fuel Tech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fuel Tech. If investors know Fuel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fuel Tech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.05) | Revenue Per Share 0.892 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets (0.03) | Return On Equity (0.03) |
The market value of Fuel Tech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fuel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fuel Tech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fuel Tech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fuel Tech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fuel Tech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fuel Tech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fuel Tech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fuel Tech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Fuel Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Fuel Tech is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Fuel Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Fuel Tech's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Fuel Tech's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Fuel Tech's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Fuel Tech has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 10.0%. This is 76.51% lower than that of the Commercial Services & Supplies sector and 79.49% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 74.89% higher than that of the company.
Fuel Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Fuel Tech's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Fuel Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fuel Tech by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Fuel Tech is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Fuel Tech Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.24) | (0.14) | 0.001081 | (0.0288) | (0.0305) | (0.032) | |
| Net Debt | (9.9M) | (8.7M) | (35.7M) | (23.1M) | (16.9M) | (17.7M) | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 4.9M | 5.5M | 3.2M | 4.8M | 5.7M | 10.7M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 1.1M | 2.2M | 551K | 482K | 1.1M | 900.2K | |
| Total Assets | 32.2M | 30.1M | 50.0M | 50.1M | 50.4M | 53.6M | |
| Total Current Assets | 21.6M | 21.1M | 41.5M | 35.8M | 38.3M | 35.8M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | (3.4M) | (2.7M) | 761K | (4.1M) | 696K | 661.2K |
Fuel Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.0347 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0331 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.13) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 4.93 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 30.38 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 22.54 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 20.96 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 415.12 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 590.00 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.79 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.28 X | ||||
| Revenue | 27.08 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 11.64 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (2.32 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (1.54 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 31.31 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.03 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 690 K | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 10.17 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.44 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 696 K | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.65 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.05) X | ||||
| Target Price | 4.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 72 | ||||
| Beta | 4.27 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 34.03 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 50.39 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (117.53 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 32.63 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 52.4 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 16.54 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 50.39 M |
About Fuel Tech Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Fuel Tech's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Fuel Tech using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fuel Tech based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Fuel Tech Piotroski F Score and Fuel Tech Altman Z Score analysis. For more information on how to buy Fuel Stock please use our How to buy in Fuel Stock guide.Note that the Fuel Tech information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fuel Tech's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Fuel Stock analysis
When running Fuel Tech's price analysis, check to measure Fuel Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fuel Tech is operating at the current time. Most of Fuel Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fuel Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fuel Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fuel Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fuel Tech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fuel Tech. If investors know Fuel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fuel Tech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.05) | Revenue Per Share 0.892 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets (0.03) | Return On Equity (0.03) |
The market value of Fuel Tech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fuel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fuel Tech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fuel Tech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fuel Tech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fuel Tech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fuel Tech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fuel Tech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fuel Tech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.