GATX Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy

GATX -  USA Stock  

USD 90.75  1.50  1.63%

GATX Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. GATX Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting GATX Corp Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the GATX Corp balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check GATX Corp Piotroski F Score and GATX Corp Altman Z Score analysis.

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GATX Corp Net Income Per Employee is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. GATX Corp reported Net Income Per Employee of 79,247 in 2020. Revenue Per Employee is likely to rise to about 697.5 K in 2021, whereas Average Assets are likely to drop slightly above 8.6 B in 2021.

GATX Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

GATX Corp's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Accounts Payable177.5 M149.1 M147.3 M143.63 M
Receivables207 M171.2 M142.2 M145.94 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current GATX Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  39%  
Most of GATX Corp's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, GATX Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of GATX Corp probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting GATX Corp odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of GATX Corp financial health.
The market value of GATX Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GATX Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GATX Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GATX Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GATX Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GATX Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GATX Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine GATX Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GATX Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

GATX Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for GATX Corp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since GATX Corp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of GATX Corp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of GATX Corp's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, GATX Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 39.0%. This is 8.41% lower than that of the Industrials sector and 29.31% lower than that of the Rental & Leasing Services industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 2.08% higher than that of the company.

GATX Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses GATX Corp's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of GATX Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GATX Corp by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
GATX Corp is rated below average in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

GATX Corp Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.0360.0690.0280.0260.0170.0258
Gross Margin0.570.580.590.640.650.66
Total Debt4.27 B4.39 B4.54 B5.23 B5.7 B5.46 B
Total Liabilities5.76 B5.63 B5.83 B6.45 B6.98 B6.88 B
Current Liabilities178.6 M158.6 M288.3 M164.9 M170.9 M216.59 M
Total Assets7.11 B7.42 B7.62 B8.29 B8.94 B8.76 B
Current Assets538.6 M512.8 M313.7 M322.2 M434.8 M535.98 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations629.4 M496.8 M508.5 M462.6 M428.3 M480.05 M
Weighted Average Shares40.5 M38.8 M37.6 M35.7 M35 M36.08 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted40.9 M39.4 M38.3 M36.4 M35.4 M36.58 M

GATX Corp Fundamentals

About GATX Corp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze GATX Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of GATX Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of GATX Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
GATX Corporation strives to be recognized as the finest railcar leasing company in the world by our customers, our shareholders, our employees and the communities where we operate. GATX has been headquartered in Chicago, Illinois since its founding in 1898. GATX Corp operates under Rental Leasing Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 1904 people.

GATX Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of GATX Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in GATX Corp. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - GATX

GATX Corp Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on GATX Corp. What is your judgment towards investing in GATX Corp? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Please check GATX Corp Piotroski F Score and GATX Corp Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the GATX Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GATX Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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The market value of GATX Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GATX Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GATX Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GATX Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GATX Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GATX Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GATX Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine GATX Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GATX Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.