Guess Inc Stock Z Score

GES Stock

USD 25.69 0.13 0.51%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Guess Piotroski F Score and Guess Valuation analysis.

At this time, Guess' Additional Paid In Capital is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Change In Working Capital is likely to gain to about 47.5 M in 2024, whereas Capital Lease Obligations is likely to drop slightly above 551.1 M in 2024. At this time, Guess' Interest Expense is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Income From Continuing Ops is likely to gain to about 221.3 M in 2024, whereas Total Revenue is likely to drop slightly above 1.9 B in 2024.

Guess Inc Company Z Score Analysis

Guess' Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Guess Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Guess is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Guess Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Guess' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Guess' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Guess' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Treasury Stock	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.17	0.5	0.74	0.87	0.87	0.73	0.85	0.63	0.26	0.53	0.66	-0.83	-0.42	0.57	-0.06	-0.66	0.49	0.77	0.59	0.56	0.36	-0.16	-0.16	-0.59	-0.55
Total Stockholder Equity	0.17		-0.68	0.7	0.15	0.43	-0.37	0.63	-0.49	0.95	-0.61	0.65	0.17	0.24	-0.34	-0.3	0.51	-0.43	-0.2	0.27	-0.42	-0.35	0.15	0.16	0.48	0.46
Net Debt	0.5	-0.68		-0.11	0.39	0.22	0.92	0.02	0.95	-0.55	0.97	-0.04	-0.78	-0.38	0.79	0.21	-0.9	0.82	0.74	0.22	0.81	0.73	-0.36	-0.16	-0.95	-0.92
Retained Earnings	0.74	0.7	-0.11		0.63	0.75	0.2	0.91	0.07	0.7	-0.03	0.81	-0.45	-0.26	0.14	-0.05	-0.14	0.07	0.43	0.65	0.11	0.03	-0.11	0.14	-0.06	-0.09
Accounts Payable	0.87	0.15	0.39	0.63		0.85	0.63	0.81	0.49	0.31	0.43	0.68	-0.78	-0.56	0.53	-0.07	-0.65	0.46	0.75	0.54	0.67	0.26	-0.22	-0.23	-0.5	-0.42
Net Receivables	0.87	0.43	0.22	0.75	0.85		0.5	0.9	0.34	0.51	0.24	0.75	-0.61	-0.18	0.36	-0.28	-0.39	0.25	0.52	0.48	0.4	0.13	-0.23	-0.12	-0.37	-0.29
Total Liab	0.73	-0.37	0.92	0.2	0.63	0.5		0.37	0.98	-0.22	0.94	0.28	-0.92	-0.42	0.88	0.12	-0.91	0.87	0.86	0.4	0.86	0.78	-0.34	-0.18	-0.96	-0.94
Total Current Assets	0.85	0.63	0.02	0.91	0.81	0.9	0.37		0.22	0.69	0.1	0.85	-0.55	-0.24	0.31	-0.21	-0.25	0.19	0.48	0.57	0.24	0.09	-0.01	-0.1	-0.18	-0.18
Short Term Debt	0.63	-0.49	0.95	0.07	0.49	0.34	0.98	0.22		-0.36	0.97	0.13	-0.85	-0.38	0.9	0.16	-0.9	0.9	0.8	0.32	0.8	0.83	-0.27	-0.19	-0.95	-0.96
Common Stock	0.26	0.95	-0.55	0.7	0.31	0.51	-0.22	0.69	-0.36		-0.49	0.76	-0.02	0.08	-0.24	-0.24	0.33	-0.35	-0.04	0.37	-0.21	-0.32	0.1	-0.02	0.32	0.37
Long Term Debt	0.53	-0.61	0.97	-0.03	0.43	0.24	0.94	0.1	0.97	-0.49		0.0	-0.8	-0.38	0.9	0.18	-0.88	0.93	0.74	0.23	0.8	0.84	-0.33	-0.12	-0.94	-0.97
Good Will	0.66	0.65	-0.04	0.81	0.68	0.75	0.28	0.85	0.13	0.76	0.0		-0.54	-0.12	0.2	0.17	-0.23	0.1	0.47	0.82	0.29	0.04	-0.11	-0.13	-0.15	-0.1
Treasury Stock	-0.83	0.17	-0.78	-0.45	-0.78	-0.61	-0.92	-0.55	-0.85	-0.02	-0.8	-0.54		0.55	-0.76	-0.28	0.9	-0.74	-0.93	-0.66	-0.84	-0.59	0.34	0.19	0.85	0.8
Intangible Assets	-0.42	0.24	-0.38	-0.26	-0.56	-0.18	-0.42	-0.24	-0.38	0.08	-0.38	-0.12	0.55		-0.26	-0.12	0.63	-0.32	-0.68	-0.24	-0.62	-0.17	0.28	0.12	0.4	0.33
Property Plant Equipment	0.57	-0.34	0.79	0.14	0.53	0.36	0.88	0.31	0.9	-0.24	0.9	0.2	-0.76	-0.26		0.09	-0.76	0.98	0.7	0.31	0.72	0.91	-0.2	-0.17	-0.82	-0.91
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.06	-0.3	0.21	-0.05	-0.07	-0.28	0.12	-0.21	0.16	-0.24	0.18	0.17	-0.28	-0.12	0.09		-0.31	0.15	0.31	0.65	0.22	0.12	-0.1	-0.02	-0.17	-0.15
Net Tangible Assets	-0.66	0.51	-0.9	-0.14	-0.65	-0.39	-0.91	-0.25	-0.9	0.33	-0.88	-0.23	0.9	0.63	-0.76	-0.31		-0.78	-0.92	-0.47	-0.91	-0.64	0.38	0.29	0.9	0.83
Long Term Debt Total	0.49	-0.43	0.82	0.07	0.46	0.25	0.87	0.19	0.9	-0.35	0.93	0.1	-0.74	-0.32	0.98	0.15	-0.78		0.71	0.28	0.75	0.94	-0.32	-0.05	-0.84	-0.95
Capital Surpluse	0.77	-0.2	0.74	0.43	0.75	0.52	0.86	0.48	0.8	-0.04	0.74	0.47	-0.93	-0.68	0.7	0.31	-0.92	0.71		0.65	0.89	0.63	-0.47	-0.09	-0.83	-0.76
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.59	0.27	0.22	0.65	0.54	0.48	0.4	0.57	0.32	0.37	0.23	0.82	-0.66	-0.24	0.31	0.65	-0.47	0.28	0.65		0.43	0.22	-0.23	-0.05	-0.34	-0.3
Long Term Investments	0.56	-0.42	0.81	0.11	0.67	0.4	0.86	0.24	0.8	-0.21	0.8	0.29	-0.84	-0.62	0.72	0.22	-0.91	0.75	0.89	0.43		0.65	-0.57	-0.14	-0.88	-0.79
Short Long Term Debt	0.36	-0.35	0.73	0.03	0.26	0.13	0.78	0.09	0.83	-0.32	0.84	0.04	-0.59	-0.17	0.91	0.12	-0.64	0.94	0.63	0.22	0.65		-0.38	0.11	-0.79	-0.9
Cash And Equivalents	-0.16	0.15	-0.36	-0.11	-0.22	-0.23	-0.34	-0.01	-0.27	0.1	-0.33	-0.11	0.34	0.28	-0.2	-0.1	0.38	-0.32	-0.47	-0.23	-0.57	-0.38		-0.42	0.52	0.43
Net Invested Capital	-0.16	0.16	-0.16	0.14	-0.23	-0.12	-0.18	-0.1	-0.19	-0.02	-0.12	-0.13	0.19	0.12	-0.17	-0.02	0.29	-0.05	-0.09	-0.05	-0.14	0.11	-0.42		0.11	-0.01
Net Working Capital	-0.59	0.48	-0.95	-0.06	-0.5	-0.37	-0.96	-0.18	-0.95	0.32	-0.94	-0.15	0.85	0.4	-0.82	-0.17	0.9	-0.84	-0.83	-0.34	-0.88	-0.79	0.52	0.11		0.94
Capital Stock	-0.55	0.46	-0.92	-0.09	-0.42	-0.29	-0.94	-0.18	-0.96	0.37	-0.97	-0.1	0.8	0.33	-0.91	-0.15	0.83	-0.95	-0.76	-0.3	-0.79	-0.9	0.43	-0.01	0.94

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Guess

According to the company's disclosures, Guess Inc has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and about the same as Consumer Discretionary (which currently averages 0.0) industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Guess Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Guess that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Guess' outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Guess' value.

		Shares
Barclays Plc	2023-12-31	851.5 K
Nomura Holdings Inc	2023-12-31	800.2 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc	2023-12-31	718.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp	2023-12-31	698.6 K
Bank Of Montreal	2023-12-31	668.4 K
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.	2023-12-31	668.4 K
Amvescap Plc.	2023-12-31	662.6 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc	2023-12-31	595.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2023-12-31	593.1 K
Blackrock Inc	2023-12-31	4.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.	2023-12-31	3.5 M

Guess Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.32
	Return On Asset	0.0669
	Profit Margin	0.07 %
	Operating Margin	0.16 %
	Current Valuation	2.21 B
	Shares Outstanding	53.46 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	49.74 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	68.90 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	7.55 M
	Price To Earning	10.46 X
	Price To Book	2.15 X
	Price To Sales	0.53 X
	Revenue	2.78 B
	Gross Profit	1.15 B
	EBITDA	325.46 M
	Net Income	195.83 M
	Cash And Equivalents	275.76 M
	Cash Per Share	3.23 X
	Total Debt	1.16 B
	Debt To Equity	2.54 %
	Current Ratio	1.57 X
	Book Value Per Share	12.92 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	330.38 M
	Short Ratio	5.27 X
	Earnings Per Share	3.09 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	6.14 X
	Target Price	31.89
	Number Of Employees	12 K
	Beta	2.0
	Market Capitalization	1.37 B
	Total Asset	2.59 B
	Retained Earnings	1.41 B
	Working Capital	433.92 M
	Current Asset	1.04 B
	Current Liabilities	327.06 M
	Annual Yield	0.05 %
	Five Year Return	3.53 %
	Net Asset	2.59 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.13

About Guess Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Guess Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Guess using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guess Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Guess Investors Sentiment

The influence of Guess' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Guess. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Investor biases related to Guess' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Guess. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Guess can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Guess Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Guess' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Guess' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Guess' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Guess.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Guess in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Guess' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Guess options trading.

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When determining whether Guess Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Guess' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Guess' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Guess Stock, refer to the following important reports:

How To Invest In Guess

Details

Is Guess Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Guess' Net Worth?

Details

Largest Specialty Retail Companies

View

Largest Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail Companies

View

Check out Guess Piotroski F Score and Guess Valuation analysis.

Note that the Guess Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guess' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Guess Stock analysis

When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Guess' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guess. If investors know Guess will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guess listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.295

Dividend Share

1.125

Earnings Share

3.09

Revenue Per Share

52.064

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.09

The market value of Guess Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guess that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guess' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guess' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guess' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guess' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guess' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guess is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guess' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

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Guess Inc Stock Z Score

Guess Inc Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Guess Z Score Driver Correlations

Guess Institutional Holders

Guess Fundamentals

About Guess Fundamental Analysis

Guess Investors Sentiment

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

Complementary Tools for Guess Stock analysis

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