Guggenheim Probability Of Bankruptcy

GIOSX -  USA Fund  

USD 27.18  0.01  0.0368%

Guggenheim Macro Opp Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Guggenheim Macro Opp Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Guggenheim Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Guggenheim balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Guggenheim Macro Piotroski F Score and Guggenheim Macro Altman Z Score analysis.

Guggenheim Probability Of Bankruptcy 

 
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Guggenheim Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Guggenheim Macro's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
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Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Guggenheim Macro Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  1%  
Most of Guggenheim Macro's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Guggenheim Macro Opportunities is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Guggenheim Macro probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Guggenheim Macro odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Guggenheim Macro Opportunities financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guggenheim Macro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Guggenheim Macro value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guggenheim Macro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
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Guggenheim Macro Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Guggenheim Macro Opportunities has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is much higher than that of the Guggenheim Investments family and significantly higher than that of the Nontraditional Bond category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

Guggenheim Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Guggenheim Macro's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Guggenheim Macro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guggenheim Macro by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Guggenheim Macro is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

Guggenheim Fundamentals

About Guggenheim Macro Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Guggenheim Macro Opportunities's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Guggenheim Macro using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guggenheim Macro Opportunities based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The investment seeks to provide total return, comprised of current income and capital appreciation. Guggenheim Macro is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Guggenheim Macro Investors Sentiment

The influence of Guggenheim Macro's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Guggenheim. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - GIOSX

Guggenheim Macro Opp Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are indifferent in their judgment towards investing in Guggenheim Macro Opportunities. What is your judgment towards investing in Guggenheim Macro Opportunities? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Please check Guggenheim Macro Piotroski F Score and Guggenheim Macro Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Guggenheim Macro Opp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guggenheim Macro's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Guggenheim Mutual Fund analysis

When running Guggenheim Macro Opp price analysis, check to measure Guggenheim Macro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guggenheim Macro is operating at the current time. Most of Guggenheim Macro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guggenheim Macro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guggenheim Macro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guggenheim Macro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Guggenheim Macro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Guggenheim Macro value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guggenheim Macro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.