Genuine Parts Co Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| GPC Stock | USD 163.09 0.70 0.43% |
Genuine | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Genuine Parts Co Company probability of distress Analysis
Genuine Parts' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Genuine Parts Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 5% |
Most of Genuine Parts' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Genuine Parts Co is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Genuine Parts probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Genuine Parts odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Genuine Parts Co financial health.
Is Genuine Parts' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genuine Parts. If investors know Genuine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genuine Parts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 3.85 | Earnings Share 8.97 | Revenue Per Share 165.038 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
The market value of Genuine Parts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genuine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genuine Parts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genuine Parts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genuine Parts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genuine Parts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genuine Parts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genuine Parts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genuine Parts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Genuine Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Genuine Parts is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Genuine Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Genuine Parts' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Genuine Parts' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Genuine Parts' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Genuine Parts Co has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 87.92% lower than that of the Distributors sector and 81.36% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.
Genuine Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Genuine Parts' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Genuine Parts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genuine Parts by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Genuine Parts is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Genuine Parts Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.0424 | 0.0122 | 0.0626 | 0.0717 | 0.0733 | 0.11 | |
| Asset Turnover | 1.48 | 1.2 | 1.23 | 1.34 | 1.29 | 2.21 | |
| Net Debt | 3.9B | 2.5B | 2.5B | 3.5B | 3.8B | 4.0B | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 6.4B | 5.9B | 6.6B | 7.7B | 7.8B | 8.2B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 4.6B | 4.3B | 4.3B | 5.0B | 5.7B | 6.0B | |
| Total Assets | 14.6B | 13.4B | 14.4B | 16.5B | 18.0B | 18.9B | |
| Total Current Assets | 7.9B | 7.1B | 7.8B | 8.8B | 9.6B | 10.1B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 892.0M | 2.0B | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.4B | 1.5B |
Genuine Parts ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Genuine Parts' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Genuine Parts' managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Genuine Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.3 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0636 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 26.63 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 139.3 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.27 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.37 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.3 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 22.37 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.61 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.88 X | ||||
| Revenue | 23.09 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 7.74 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 2.1 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.32 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 653.46 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.46 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 4.89 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.10 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.18 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 31.60 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.44 B | ||||
| Short Ratio | 2.26 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 8.97 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.02 X | ||||
| Target Price | 167.38 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 60 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.97 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 22.72 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 17.97 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 5.07 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.78 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 5.56 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 3.94 B | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 2.89 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 17.97 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 3.85 |
About Genuine Parts Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Genuine Parts Co's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Genuine Parts using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Genuine Parts Co based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Genuine Parts Investors Sentiment
The influence of Genuine Parts' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Genuine. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Genuine Parts' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Genuine. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genuine can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genuine Parts Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Genuine Parts' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Genuine Parts' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Genuine Parts' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Genuine Parts.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Genuine Parts in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Genuine Parts' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Genuine Parts options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Genuine Parts Piotroski F Score and Genuine Parts Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Genuine Stock analysis
When running Genuine Parts' price analysis, check to measure Genuine Parts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genuine Parts is operating at the current time. Most of Genuine Parts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genuine Parts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genuine Parts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genuine Parts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Genuine Parts' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genuine Parts. If investors know Genuine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genuine Parts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 3.85 | Earnings Share 8.97 | Revenue Per Share 165.038 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
The market value of Genuine Parts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genuine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genuine Parts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genuine Parts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genuine Parts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genuine Parts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genuine Parts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genuine Parts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genuine Parts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.