Grindrod Shipping Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GRIN Stock  USD 13.96  0.23  1.68%   
Grindrod Shipping's probability of distress is under 25% at this time. It has slight risk of undergoing some form of financial trouble in the near future. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Grindrod balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Grindrod Shipping Piotroski F Score and Grindrod Shipping Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of the 5th of May 2024, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 312.1 M, while Market Cap is likely to drop about 175.9 M.

Grindrod Shipping Holdings Company odds of distress Analysis

Grindrod Shipping's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Grindrod Shipping Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 25%  
Most of Grindrod Shipping's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Grindrod Shipping Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Grindrod Shipping probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Grindrod Shipping odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Grindrod Shipping Holdings financial health.
Is Grindrod Shipping's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grindrod Shipping. If investors know Grindrod will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grindrod Shipping listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Dividend Share
0.03
Earnings Share
(0.49)
Revenue Per Share
19.827
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.091
The market value of Grindrod Shipping is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grindrod that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grindrod Shipping's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grindrod Shipping's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grindrod Shipping's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grindrod Shipping's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grindrod Shipping's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grindrod Shipping is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grindrod Shipping's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grindrod Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Grindrod Shipping is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Grindrod Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Grindrod Shipping's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Grindrod Shipping's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Grindrod Shipping's interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.450.440.480.020.060.630.010.270.13-0.520.30.130.50.320.580.120.420.170.41-0.130.64
0.451.00.93-0.870.10.9-0.830.720.83-0.66-0.680.760.840.720.680.650.89-0.62-0.250.380.47
0.441.00.91-0.880.140.9-0.820.690.81-0.64-0.680.720.820.730.670.640.86-0.59-0.230.410.46
0.480.930.91-0.8-0.230.88-0.840.760.9-0.63-0.60.80.940.720.820.70.97-0.61-0.310.120.43
0.02-0.87-0.88-0.8-0.03-0.680.95-0.65-0.890.430.93-0.77-0.7-0.67-0.5-0.68-0.790.750.52-0.48-0.18
0.060.10.14-0.23-0.030.110.21-0.32-0.160.150.02-0.29-0.37-0.22-0.390.05-0.360.260.290.5-0.07
0.630.90.90.88-0.680.11-0.670.460.77-0.46-0.430.550.80.520.780.760.79-0.26-0.170.070.4
0.01-0.83-0.82-0.840.950.21-0.67-0.68-0.90.480.9-0.84-0.81-0.59-0.64-0.67-0.870.780.61-0.22-0.21
0.270.720.690.76-0.65-0.320.46-0.680.65-0.86-0.630.890.690.750.420.210.82-0.85-0.380.370.67
0.130.830.810.9-0.89-0.160.77-0.90.65-0.39-0.780.770.790.560.630.850.84-0.63-0.560.180.18
-0.52-0.66-0.64-0.630.430.15-0.460.48-0.86-0.390.39-0.69-0.66-0.58-0.460.02-0.710.610.15-0.22-0.88
0.3-0.68-0.68-0.60.930.02-0.430.9-0.63-0.780.39-0.76-0.52-0.48-0.27-0.51-0.630.80.73-0.46-0.17
0.130.760.720.8-0.77-0.290.55-0.840.890.77-0.69-0.760.720.60.470.410.84-0.89-0.610.260.51
0.50.840.820.94-0.7-0.370.8-0.810.690.79-0.66-0.520.720.650.940.570.96-0.53-0.27-0.060.47
0.320.720.730.72-0.67-0.220.52-0.590.750.56-0.58-0.480.60.650.50.250.76-0.630.00.550.39
0.580.680.670.82-0.5-0.390.78-0.640.420.63-0.46-0.270.470.940.50.550.83-0.24-0.09-0.30.33
0.120.650.640.7-0.680.050.76-0.670.210.850.02-0.510.410.570.250.550.57-0.24-0.34-0.02-0.19
0.420.890.860.97-0.79-0.360.79-0.870.820.84-0.71-0.630.840.960.760.830.57-0.69-0.350.10.49
0.17-0.62-0.59-0.610.750.26-0.260.78-0.85-0.630.610.8-0.89-0.53-0.63-0.24-0.24-0.690.51-0.47-0.3
0.41-0.25-0.23-0.310.520.29-0.170.61-0.38-0.560.150.73-0.61-0.270.0-0.09-0.34-0.350.510.05-0.15
-0.130.380.410.12-0.480.50.07-0.220.370.18-0.22-0.460.26-0.060.55-0.3-0.020.1-0.470.050.11
0.640.470.460.43-0.18-0.070.4-0.210.670.18-0.88-0.170.510.470.390.33-0.190.49-0.3-0.150.11
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Grindrod Shipping Holdings has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 25.0%. This is 41.29% lower than that of the Marine Transportation sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 37.23% higher than that of the company.

Grindrod Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Grindrod Shipping's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Grindrod Shipping could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grindrod Shipping by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Grindrod Shipping is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Grindrod Shipping Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.0671)(0.0661)0.180.19(0.0209)(0.0219)
Gross Profit Margin0.0620.05410.390.360.09530.1
Net Debt190.8M288.4M171.8M172.9M116.7M146.2M
Total Current Liabilities86.8M117.9M100.3M90.7M86.6M89.8M
Non Current Liabilities Total180.3M250.2M225.2M171.1M128.1M143.8M
Total Assets527.2M622.1M645.2M549.2M460.9M438.1M
Total Current Assets91.5M82.6M161.5M105.2M98.1M102.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(55.6M)70.4M204.9M186.0M155.1M162.9M

Grindrod Fundamentals

About Grindrod Shipping Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Grindrod Shipping Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Grindrod Shipping using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grindrod Shipping Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Grindrod Shipping offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Grindrod Shipping's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Grindrod Shipping Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Grindrod Shipping Holdings Stock:
Check out Grindrod Shipping Piotroski F Score and Grindrod Shipping Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for Grindrod Stock analysis

When running Grindrod Shipping's price analysis, check to measure Grindrod Shipping's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grindrod Shipping is operating at the current time. Most of Grindrod Shipping's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grindrod Shipping's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grindrod Shipping's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grindrod Shipping to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Is Grindrod Shipping's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grindrod Shipping. If investors know Grindrod will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grindrod Shipping listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Dividend Share
0.03
Earnings Share
(0.49)
Revenue Per Share
19.827
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.091
The market value of Grindrod Shipping is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grindrod that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grindrod Shipping's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grindrod Shipping's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grindrod Shipping's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grindrod Shipping's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grindrod Shipping's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grindrod Shipping is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grindrod Shipping's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.