Gran Tierra Energy Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GTE Stock

USD 8.26 0.11 1.35%

Gran Tierra's probability of distress is under 27% at the present time. It has slight risk of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. Gran Tierra's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Gran Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Gran balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Gran Tierra Piotroski F Score and Gran Tierra Altman Z Score analysis.

The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 743.1 M, whereas Market Cap is forecasted to decline to about 179.3 M.

Gran Tierra Energy Company probability of distress Analysis

Gran Tierra's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Gran Tierra Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 27%

Most of Gran Tierra's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Gran Tierra Energy is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Gran Tierra probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Gran Tierra odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Gran Tierra Energy financial health.

Is Gran Tierra's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gran Tierra. If investors know Gran will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gran Tierra listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.74)

Earnings Share

(0.19)

Revenue Per Share

19.031

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.05)

Return On Assets

0.0818

The market value of Gran Tierra Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gran that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gran Tierra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gran Tierra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gran Tierra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gran Tierra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Intangible Assets	Long Term Debt	Net Tangible Assets	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Short Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Current Deferred Revenue
Total Assets		0.77	-0.1	0.24	0.79	0.68	0.35	0.43	0.72	0.73	0.94	0.79	0.1	0.44	0.26	0.03	0.14	-0.02	-0.15	0.06	-0.08	0.4	0.27	0.04	0.0
Total Stockholder Equity	0.77		-0.66	0.76	0.36	0.71	0.32	-0.2	0.86	0.4	0.56	0.44	-0.5	0.86	-0.27	0.46	-0.32	0.03	-0.46	-0.56	-0.42	0.53	0.49	0.3	0.21
Net Debt	-0.1	-0.66		-0.9	0.34	-0.16	-0.13	0.74	-0.69	0.23	0.18	0.15	0.94	-0.82	0.77	-0.78	0.67	0.08	0.46	0.9	0.33	-0.12	-0.19	-0.27	-0.17
Retained Earnings	0.24	0.76	-0.9		-0.18	0.45	0.26	-0.66	0.73	-0.26	-0.04	-0.21	-0.82	0.95	-0.78	0.83	-0.7	-0.18	-0.59	-0.81	-0.49	0.5	0.5	0.33	0.24
Accounts Payable	0.79	0.36	0.34	-0.18		0.52	0.17	0.72	0.27	0.7	0.91	0.73	0.48	0.0	0.62	-0.3	0.37	0.04	0.09	0.43	0.21	0.31	0.07	0.02	-0.13
Net Receivables	0.68	0.71	-0.16	0.45	0.52		0.41	0.12	0.54	0.32	0.58	0.33	-0.04	0.54	-0.08	0.32	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	-0.15	-0.6	0.73	0.68	0.37	0.39
Short Term Investments	0.35	0.32	-0.13	0.26	0.17	0.41		0.12	0.41	0.0	0.24	0.13	0.02	0.25	-0.16	0.22	-0.24	-0.17	-0.29	0.01	-0.32	0.43	0.44	0.18	0.15
Total Liab	0.43	-0.2	0.74	-0.66	0.72	0.12	0.12		-0.13	0.6	0.66	0.58	0.9	-0.56	0.77	-0.56	0.72	-0.07	0.34	0.86	0.29	-0.06	-0.13	-0.02	-0.08
Total Current Assets	0.72	0.86	-0.69	0.73	0.27	0.54	0.41	-0.13		0.26	0.47	0.37	-0.48	0.79	-0.44	0.57	-0.36	-0.3	-0.39	-0.42	-0.26	0.3	0.31	0.14	0.12
Common Stock	0.73	0.4	0.23	-0.26	0.7	0.32	0.0	0.6	0.26		0.81	0.93	0.4	-0.09	0.62	-0.5	0.62	0.19	0.12	0.3	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.11	0.07
Property Plant Equipment	0.94	0.56	0.18	-0.04	0.91	0.58	0.24	0.66	0.47	0.81		0.86	0.36	0.17	0.54	-0.21	0.38	0.05	0.01	0.31	0.08	0.32	0.15	0.03	-0.09
Intangible Assets	0.79	0.44	0.15	-0.21	0.73	0.33	0.13	0.58	0.37	0.93	0.86		0.3	-0.05	0.59	-0.41	0.48	0.12	0.18	0.29	0.18	-0.07	-0.13	-0.05	-0.14
Long Term Debt	0.1	-0.5	0.94	-0.82	0.48	-0.04	0.02	0.9	-0.48	0.4	0.36	0.3		-0.76	0.76	-0.73	0.74	-0.04	0.34	0.94	0.24	-0.05	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03
Net Tangible Assets	0.44	0.86	-0.82	0.95	0.0	0.54	0.25	-0.56	0.79	-0.09	0.17	-0.05	-0.76		-0.62	0.73	-0.64	-0.07	-0.55	-0.75	-0.42	0.57	0.5	0.17	0.15
Capital Surpluse	0.26	-0.27	0.77	-0.78	0.62	-0.08	-0.16	0.77	-0.44	0.62	0.54	0.59	0.76	-0.62		-0.77	0.74	0.41	0.44	0.68	0.44	-0.16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.32
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.03	0.46	-0.78	0.83	-0.3	0.32	0.22	-0.56	0.57	-0.5	-0.21	-0.41	-0.73	0.73	-0.77		-0.76	-0.15	-0.47	-0.7	-0.44	0.27	0.34	0.29	0.23
Long Term Investments	0.14	-0.32	0.67	-0.7	0.37	-0.23	-0.24	0.72	-0.36	0.62	0.38	0.48	0.74	-0.64	0.74	-0.76		0.18	0.41	0.71	0.28	-0.22	-0.26	-0.04	-0.13
Short Long Term Debt	-0.02	0.03	0.08	-0.18	0.04	-0.04	-0.17	-0.07	-0.3	0.19	0.05	0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.41	-0.15	0.18		0.08	-0.22	-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.0	-0.06
Short Term Debt	-0.15	-0.46	0.46	-0.59	0.09	-0.33	-0.29	0.34	-0.39	0.12	0.01	0.18	0.34	-0.55	0.44	-0.47	0.41	0.08		0.41	0.36	-0.59	-0.77	-0.41	-0.15
Long Term Debt Total	0.06	-0.56	0.9	-0.81	0.43	-0.15	0.01	0.86	-0.42	0.3	0.31	0.29	0.94	-0.75	0.68	-0.7	0.71	-0.22	0.41		0.42	-0.17	-0.23	-0.26	-0.27
Cash And Equivalents	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.49	0.21	-0.6	-0.32	0.29	-0.26	0.03	0.08	0.18	0.24	-0.42	0.44	-0.44	0.28	-0.05	0.36	0.42		-0.52	-0.74	-0.67	-0.78
Net Invested Capital	0.4	0.53	-0.12	0.5	0.31	0.73	0.43	-0.06	0.3	0.03	0.32	-0.07	-0.05	0.57	-0.16	0.27	-0.22	-0.05	-0.59	-0.17	-0.52		0.87	0.35	0.27
Net Working Capital	0.27	0.49	-0.19	0.5	0.07	0.68	0.44	-0.13	0.31	0.02	0.15	-0.13	-0.07	0.5	-0.29	0.34	-0.26	-0.04	-0.77	-0.23	-0.74	0.87		0.55	0.48
Capital Stock	0.04	0.3	-0.27	0.33	0.02	0.37	0.18	-0.02	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.05	-0.05	0.17	-0.21	0.29	-0.04	0.0	-0.41	-0.26	-0.67	0.35	0.55		0.72
Current Deferred Revenue	0.0	0.21	-0.17	0.24	-0.13	0.39	0.15	-0.08	0.12	0.07	-0.09	-0.14	-0.03	0.15	-0.32	0.23	-0.13	-0.06	-0.15	-0.27	-0.78	0.27	0.48	0.72

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0189	(0.65)	0.0357	0.1	(0.00474)	(0.004977)
Asset Turnover	0.28	0.2	0.4	0.53	0.48	0.5
Gross Profit Margin	0.68	0.61	0.31	0.7	0.75	0.35
Net Debt	692.2M	761.1M	628.3M	462.7M	493.0M	517.7M
Total Current Liabilities	199.3M	113.7M	228.0M	241.6M	260.3M	167.3M
Non Current Liabilities Total	812.7M	831.1M	659.0M	676.4M	669.6M	372.7M
Total Assets	2.0B	1.2B	1.2B	1.3B	1.3B	1.4B
Total Current Assets	290.7M	133.9M	101.8M	168.6M	112.5M	184.1M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	177.7M	81.1M	244.8M	427.7M	228.0M	203.4M

	Return On Equity	-0.0155
	Return On Asset	0.0818
	Profit Margin	(0.01) %
	Operating Margin	0.24 %
	Current Valuation	767.9 M
	Shares Outstanding	32.32 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.83 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	34.18 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	637.03 K
	Price To Earning	2.72 X
	Price To Book	0.66 X
	Price To Sales	0.41 X
	Revenue	636.96 M
	Gross Profit	538.81 M
	EBITDA	389.7 M
	Net Income	(6.29 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	126.87 M
	Cash Per Share	0.33 X
	Total Debt	555.14 M
	Debt To Equity	1.46 %
	Current Ratio	0.72 X
	Book Value Per Share	12.29 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	227.99 M
	Short Ratio	1.62 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.19) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.13 X
	Target Price	12.23
	Number Of Employees	351
	Beta	1.63
	Market Capitalization	263.38 M
	Total Asset	1.33 B
	Retained Earnings	(863.03 M)
	Working Capital	(147.79 M)
	Current Asset	234.44 M
	Current Liabilities	73.99 M
	Net Asset	1.33 B

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Gran Tierra Energy Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Gran Tierra Energy Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Gran Tierra Probability Of Bankruptcy

Gran Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Gran Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Gran Tierra Main Bankruptcy Drivers

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