Home Federal Bancorp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

HFBL Stock  USD 11.94  0.00  0.00%   
Home Federal's odds of distress is under 8% at the moment. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial straits in the near future. Home Federal's Odds of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Home Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Home balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Home Federal Piotroski F Score and Home Federal Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Enterprise Value is expected to rise to about 43.9 M this year, although the value of Market Cap will most likely fall to about 34 M.

Home Federal Bancorp Company odds of financial distress Analysis

Home Federal's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Home Federal Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 8%  
Most of Home Federal's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Home Federal Bancorp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Home Federal probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Home Federal odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Home Federal Bancorp financial health.
Is Home Federal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Home Federal. If investors know Home will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Home Federal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
Dividend Share
0.49
Earnings Share
1.48
Revenue Per Share
7.482
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of Home Federal Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Home that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Home Federal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Home Federal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Home Federal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Home Federal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Home Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Home Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Home Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Home Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Home Federal is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Home Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Home Federal's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Home Federal's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Home Federal's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Home Federal Bancorp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 8.0%. This is 83.98% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 79.91% higher than that of the company.

Home Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Home Federal's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Home Federal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Home Federal by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Home Federal is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Home Federal Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0074290.0094830.0082530.008630.0077670.006019
Asset Turnover0.03620.03890.03490.03550.03190.0295
Net Debt(51.5M)(101.1M)(60.9M)(16.2M)(14.6M)(13.9M)
Total Current Liabilities2.5M2.4M3.2M501.8M577.1M606.0M
Non Current Liabilities Total3.4M3.3M2.4M8.6M7.7M13.7M
Total Assets518.2M565.7M590.5M660.9M760.1M798.1M
Total Current Assets98.8M135.1M71.5M66.1M76.0M121.0M
Total Cash From Operating Activities200K8.3M17.1M12.1M13.9M14.6M

Home Fundamentals

About Home Federal Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Home Federal Bancorp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Home Federal using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Home Federal Bancorp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Home Federal Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Home Federal's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Home Federal's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Home Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Home Federal Piotroski F Score and Home Federal Altman Z Score analysis.
Note that the Home Federal Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Home Federal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Home Stock analysis

When running Home Federal's price analysis, check to measure Home Federal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Home Federal is operating at the current time. Most of Home Federal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Home Federal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Home Federal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Home Federal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Home Federal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Home Federal. If investors know Home will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Home Federal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
Dividend Share
0.49
Earnings Share
1.48
Revenue Per Share
7.482
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of Home Federal Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Home that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Home Federal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Home Federal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Home Federal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Home Federal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Home Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Home Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Home Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.