Howmet Aerospaceinc Stock Beneish M Score

HWM Stock  USD 64.70  0.06  0.09%   
This module uses fundamental data of Howmet AerospaceInc to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Howmet AerospaceInc M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Howmet AerospaceInc Piotroski F Score and Howmet AerospaceInc Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Howmet Stock, please use our How to Invest in Howmet AerospaceInc guide.
  
At this time, Howmet AerospaceInc's Short and Long Term Debt Total is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of April 2024, Long Term Debt Total is likely to grow to about 5.3 B, while Short Term Debt is likely to drop about 196.8 M. At this time, Howmet AerospaceInc's ROIC is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of April 2024, Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to 5.35, while Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 27.76.
At this time, it appears that Howmet AerospaceInc is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Howmet AerospaceInc's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Howmet AerospaceInc executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Howmet AerospaceInc's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.96
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.93

Focus
Asset Quality

1.11

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.57

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.64

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.57

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.67

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.61

Focus

Howmet AerospaceInc Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Howmet AerospaceInc's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.1 B692 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue11.1 B6.6 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets15.9 B10.4 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets5.3 B3.3 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total12.9 B8.2 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant EquipmentB2.1 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization258.4 M272 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative325.9 M343 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.7 B1.8 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total6.9 B4.6 B
Way Up
Very volatile
Short Term Debt196.8 M238 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt4.5 B3.5 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities861.4 M901 M
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments1.5 B1.2 B
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.180.2812
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Howmet AerospaceInc Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Howmet AerospaceInc's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Howmet AerospaceInc in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Howmet AerospaceInc's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Howmet AerospaceInc Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

5.15 Billion

At this time, Howmet AerospaceInc's Other Operating Expenses is very stable compared to the past year.

Howmet AerospaceInc Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Howmet AerospaceInc. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.5B357M420M537M692M1.1B
Total Revenue14.2B5.3B5.0B5.7B6.6B11.1B
Total Assets17.6B11.4B10.2B10.3B10.4B15.9B
Total Current Assets5.8B3.7B2.7B3.1B3.3B5.3B
Net Debt4.3B3.5B3.5B3.4B3.2B2.9B
Short Term Debt1.0B376M5M32M238M196.8M
Long Term Debt4.9B4.7B4.2B4.2B3.5B4.5B
Operating Income1.5B626M748M919M1.2B634.3M
Investments1.1B422M107M(135M)(192M)(182.4M)

About Howmet AerospaceInc Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Howmet AerospaceInc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Howmet AerospaceInc using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Howmet AerospaceInc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Howmet AerospaceInc Investors Sentiment

The influence of Howmet AerospaceInc's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Howmet. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Howmet AerospaceInc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Howmet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Howmet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Howmet AerospaceInc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Howmet AerospaceInc's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Howmet AerospaceInc's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Howmet AerospaceInc's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Howmet AerospaceInc.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Howmet AerospaceInc in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Howmet AerospaceInc's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Howmet AerospaceInc options trading.

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When determining whether Howmet AerospaceInc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Howmet AerospaceInc's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Howmet AerospaceInc's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Howmet Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Howmet AerospaceInc Piotroski F Score and Howmet AerospaceInc Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Howmet Stock, please use our How to Invest in Howmet AerospaceInc guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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Is Howmet AerospaceInc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Howmet AerospaceInc. If investors know Howmet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Howmet AerospaceInc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.086
Dividend Share
0.17
Earnings Share
1.83
Revenue Per Share
16.117
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.144
The market value of Howmet AerospaceInc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Howmet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Howmet AerospaceInc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Howmet AerospaceInc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Howmet AerospaceInc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Howmet AerospaceInc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Howmet AerospaceInc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Howmet AerospaceInc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Howmet AerospaceInc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.