Horizon Pharma Plc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

HZNPDelisted Stock  USD 116.30  0.00  0.00%   
Horizon Pharma's likelihood of distress is above 80% at this time. It has very high risk of going through financial crisis in the upcoming years. Probability of distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate Horizon Pharma's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Horizon balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  

Horizon Pharma PLC Company probability of distress Analysis

Horizon Pharma's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Horizon Pharma Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 100%  
Most of Horizon Pharma's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Horizon Pharma PLC is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Horizon Pharma probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Horizon Pharma odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Horizon Pharma PLC financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Horizon Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Horizon Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Horizon Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Horizon Pharma PLC has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 100%. This is 131.0% higher than that of the Pharmaceuticals sector and significantly higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 151.07% lower than that of the firm.

Horizon Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Horizon Pharma's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Horizon Pharma could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Horizon Pharma by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Horizon Pharma is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Horizon Fundamentals

About Horizon Pharma Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Horizon Pharma PLC's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Horizon Pharma using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Horizon Pharma PLC based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Horizon Pharma in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Horizon Pharma's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Horizon Pharma options trading.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Other Consideration for investing in Horizon Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Horizon Pharma PLC check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Horizon Pharma's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments