JP Morgan Probability Of Bankruptcy

JPM -  USA Stock  

USD 151.45  0.20  0.13%

JP Morgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. JP Morgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting JP Morgan Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the JP Morgan balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please see JP Morgan Piotroski F Score and JP Morgan Altman Z Score analysis.

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JP Morgan Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is estimated at 43.74 Billion. Earnings before Tax is expected to hike to about 35.7 B this year, although the value of Revenue Per Employee will most likely fall to nearly 461.2 K.

JP Morgan Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

JP Morgan's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current JP Morgan Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  50%  
Most of JP Morgan's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, JP Morgan Chase is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of JP Morgan probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting JP Morgan odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of JP Morgan Chase financial health.
The market value of JP Morgan Chase is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JP Morgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JP Morgan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JP Morgan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JP Morgan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JP Morgan Chase underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JP Morgan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine JP Morgan value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JP Morgan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JP Morgan Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for JP Morgan is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since JP Morgan's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of JP Morgan's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of JP Morgan's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, JP Morgan Chase has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 50.0%. This indicator is about the same for the Financial Services average (which is currently at 49.93) sector and significantly higher than that of the Banks—Diversified industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 25.53% lower than that of the firm.

JP Morgan Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses JP Morgan's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of JP Morgan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JP Morgan by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
JP Morgan is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

JP Morgan Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Total Debt495.35 B494.8 B533.63 B516.09 B542.1 B510.84 B
Total Liabilities2,236.78 B2,277.91 B2,366.02 B2,426.05 B3,105.4 B2,962.85 B
Total Assets2,490.97 B2,533.6 B2,622.53 B2,687.38 B3,384.76 B3,244.68 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations21.88 B(10.83 B)15.61 B4.09 B(79.91 B)(82.01 B)
Weighted Average Shares3.66 B3.55 B3.4 B3.22 B3.08 B3.15 B
Weighted Average Shares Diluted3.69 B3.58 B3.41 B3.23 B3.09 B3.16 B

JP Morgan Fundamentals

About JP Morgan Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze JP Morgan Chase's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of JP Morgan using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of JP Morgan Chase based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
JPMorgan Chase Co. operates as a financial services company worldwide. JPMorgan Chase Co. was founded in 1799 and is headquartered in New York, New York. JP Morgan operates under BanksDiversified classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 259350 people.

JP Morgan Investors Sentiment

The influence of JP Morgan's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in JP Morgan. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - JPM

JP Morgan Chase Investor Sentiment

Predominant part of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on JP Morgan Chase. What is your judgment towards investing in JP Morgan Chase? Are you bullish or bearish?
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98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Please see JP Morgan Piotroski F Score and JP Morgan Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the JP Morgan Chase information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JP Morgan's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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When running JP Morgan Chase price analysis, check to measure JP Morgan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JP Morgan is operating at the current time. Most of JP Morgan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JP Morgan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JP Morgan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JP Morgan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of JP Morgan Chase is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JP Morgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JP Morgan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JP Morgan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JP Morgan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JP Morgan Chase underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JP Morgan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine JP Morgan value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JP Morgan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.