Lion Group Holding Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| LGHL Stock | USD 0.78 0.01 1.27% |
Lion | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Lion Group Holding Company odds of financial distress Analysis
Lion Group's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Lion Group Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 56% |
Most of Lion Group's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Lion Group Holding is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Lion Group probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Lion Group odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Lion Group Holding financial health.
Is Lion Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lion Group. If investors know Lion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lion Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Earnings Share (11.00) | Revenue Per Share 10.759 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.97) | Return On Assets (0.11) |
The market value of Lion Group Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lion Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lion Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lion Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lion Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lion Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lion Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lion Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Lion Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Lion Group is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Lion Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Lion Group's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Lion Group's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Lion Group's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Lion Group Holding has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 56%. This is 12.16% higher than that of the Capital Markets sector and 27.71% higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 40.6% lower than that of the firm.
Lion Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Lion Group's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Lion Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lion Group by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Lion Group is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Lion Group Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.67 | 0.37 | 0.55 | 4.54 | 4.08 | 4.29 | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 6.2M | 11.3M | 91.5M | 53.9M | 61.9M | 32.0M | |
| Total Current Assets | 13.0M | 16.6M | 128.4M | 69.0M | 79.4M | 45.4M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 8.0M | 105.7K | (20.5M) | (3.9M) | (3.5M) | (3.7M) |
Lion Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.32 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.11 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.86) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 38.12 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 3.73 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.08 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 81.13 K | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.08 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | ||||
| Revenue | (2.48 M) | ||||
| Gross Profit | 14.26 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (28.22 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (33.97 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 31 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.66 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 5.39 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.05 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.40 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 18.65 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.94 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.62 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (11.00) X | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 38 | ||||
| Beta | 1.45 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.94 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 86.63 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (34.49 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 15.18 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 86.63 M |
About Lion Group Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Lion Group Holding's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Lion Group using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lion Group Holding based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Lion Group Piotroski F Score and Lion Group Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Lion Group Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lion Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
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When running Lion Group's price analysis, check to measure Lion Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lion Group is operating at the current time. Most of Lion Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lion Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lion Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lion Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lion Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lion Group. If investors know Lion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lion Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Earnings Share (11.00) | Revenue Per Share 10.759 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.97) | Return On Assets (0.11) |
The market value of Lion Group Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lion Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lion Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lion Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lion Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lion Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lion Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lion Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.