Marcus Probability Of Bankruptcy

MCS
 Stock
  

USD 15.72  0.38  2.36%   

Marcus Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Marcus Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Marcus Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Marcus balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Additionally, see Marcus Piotroski F Score and Marcus Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Marcus Net Income Per Employee is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Marcus reported last year Net Income Per Employee of 13,708. As of 12/10/2022, Revenue Per Employee is likely to grow to about 358.8 K, while Earnings before Tax are likely to drop (180.8 M).

Marcus Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Marcus' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2017 2018 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.06740.01250.01440.0147
Interest Coverage17.6413.4412.113.32
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Marcus Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  12%  
Most of Marcus' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Marcus is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Marcus probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Marcus odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Marcus financial health.
Is Marcus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marcus. If investors know Marcus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marcus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.446
Market Capitalization
507.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.239
Return On Assets
0.0134
Return On Equity
0.0084
The market value of Marcus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marcus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marcus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marcus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marcus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marcus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marcus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Marcus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marcus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Marcus Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Marcus is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Marcus' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Marcus' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Marcus' interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Marcus has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 12.0%. This is 76.75% lower than that of the Entertainment sector and significantly higher than that of the Communication Services industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 69.87% higher than that of the company.

Marcus Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Marcus' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Marcus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marcus by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Marcus is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Marcus Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets8.698.094.843.684.236.12
Gross Margin21.4519.7815.5714.4716.6420.74
Total Liabilities222.5 M170.3 M233.1 M144.6 M166.29 M208.9 M
Current Liabilities167.7 M159.5 M178.3 M132.4 M119.16 M117.83 M
Total Assets919.8 M915 M995.2 M913.6 M822.24 M787.15 M
Current Assets812.3 M810.6 M896.9 M774.5 M697.05 M674.83 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations18.3 M(3.8 M)14.8 M81.4 M73.26 M79.04 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted525.9 M537.3 M538.6 M543.9 M489.51 M451.58 M

Marcus Fundamentals

About Marcus Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Marcus's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Marcus using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marcus based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The Marcus Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates movie theatres, and hotels and resorts in the United States. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Marcus Corp operates under Entertainment classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2925 people.

Marcus Investors Sentiment

The influence of Marcus' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Marcus. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Marcus' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Marcus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Marcus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Marcus. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Marcus' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Marcus' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Marcus' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Marcus.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Marcus in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Marcus' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Marcus options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Marcus using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Marcus Piotroski F Score and Marcus Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Marcus information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Marcus' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for Marcus Stock analysis

When running Marcus price analysis, check to measure Marcus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marcus is operating at the current time. Most of Marcus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marcus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marcus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marcus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Marcus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marcus. If investors know Marcus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marcus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.446
Market Capitalization
507.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.239
Return On Assets
0.0134
Return On Equity
0.0084
The market value of Marcus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marcus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marcus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marcus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marcus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marcus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marcus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Marcus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marcus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.