Natural Grocers By Stock Z Score

NGVC Stock  USD 18.05  0.16  0.88%   
Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Natural Grocers Piotroski F Score and Natural Grocers Valuation analysis.
  
At present, Natural Grocers' Return On Capital Employed is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. At present, Natural Grocers' Non Operating Income Net Other is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Natural Z Score Analysis

Natural Grocers' Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Interest Expense2.4M3.3M3.8M2.7M
Depreciation And Amortization29.0M28.9M33.2M23.1M

Z Score

 = 

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

Current Natural Grocers Z Score

    
  2.91  
Most of Natural Grocers' fundamental indicators, such as Z Score, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Natural Grocers By is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

First Factor

 = 

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

 = 

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

 = 

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

 = 

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

 = 

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Natural Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Natural Grocers is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Natural Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Natural Grocers' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Natural Grocers' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Natural Grocers' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Competition

Based on the company's disclosures, Natural Grocers By has a Z Score of 2.91. This is 67.88% lower than that of the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector and 32.27% higher than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 66.63% higher than that of the company.

Natural Z Score Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Natural Grocers' direct or indirect competition against its Z Score to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Natural Grocers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Grocers by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Natural Grocers is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies.

Natural Grocers Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Natural Grocers that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Natural Grocers' outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Natural Grocers' value.
Shares
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
173 K
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.2023-12-31
165.9 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
161.5 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
149.8 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
140 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
138.5 K
Green Alpha Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
93.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
88.1 K
Hussman Strategic Advisors Inc2023-12-31
88 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
1.3 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
675.4 K

Natural Fundamentals

About Natural Grocers Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Natural Grocers By's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Natural Grocers using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Grocers By based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, retails natural and organic groceries, and dietary supplements in the United States. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado. Natural Grocers is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Natural Grocers in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Natural Grocers' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Natural Grocers options trading.

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When determining whether Natural Grocers By offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Natural Grocers' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Natural Grocers By Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Natural Grocers By Stock:
Check out Natural Grocers Piotroski F Score and Natural Grocers Valuation analysis.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Natural Grocers' price analysis, check to measure Natural Grocers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Grocers is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Grocers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Grocers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Grocers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Grocers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natural Grocers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Grocers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.789
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
1.17
Revenue Per Share
51.103
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.076
The market value of Natural Grocers By is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Grocers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Grocers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Grocers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Grocers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Grocers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natural Grocers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Grocers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.