Natural Grocers By Stock Z Score

NGVC Stock

USD 16.04 0.17 1.05%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Natural Grocers Piotroski F Score and Natural Grocers Valuation analysis.

At present, Natural Grocers' Invested Capital is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.12, whereas Capital Surpluse is forecasted to decline to about 61.5 M. At present, Natural Grocers' Non Operating Income Net Other is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Natural Grocers by Company Z Score Analysis

Natural Grocers' Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Natural Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Natural Grocers is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Natural Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Natural Grocers' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Natural Grocers' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Natural Grocers' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Good Will	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Treasury Stock	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.76	0.63	0.98	0.79	0.82	-0.32	0.97	0.64	0.99	0.86	0.95	0.94	-0.38	0.9	0.81	0.73	0.81	-0.43	0.31	-0.57	0.77	-0.95	-0.56
Total Stockholder Equity	0.76		0.83	0.64	0.97	0.96	-0.04	0.67	0.85	0.7	0.95	0.56	0.61	-0.69	0.63	0.91	0.86	0.67	-0.41	0.17	-0.37	0.55	-0.62	-0.18
Current Deferred Revenue	0.63	0.83		0.49	0.68	0.72	-0.05	0.49	0.58	0.56	0.71	0.42	0.47	-0.95	0.56	0.6	0.59	0.47	-0.38	0.02	-0.28	0.36	-0.49	-0.26
Net Debt	0.98	0.64	0.49		0.69	0.73	-0.37	0.96	0.53	0.99	0.79	0.99	0.95	-0.23	0.88	0.71	0.63	0.76	-0.38	0.34	-0.59	0.76	-0.97	-0.52
Retained Earnings	0.79	0.97	0.68	0.69		0.97	-0.04	0.73	0.88	0.74	0.97	0.61	0.65	-0.5	0.64	0.97	0.9	0.69	-0.38	0.24	-0.41	0.58	-0.66	-0.18
Accounts Payable	0.82	0.96	0.72	0.73	0.97		-0.09	0.77	0.89	0.78	0.99	0.67	0.71	-0.53	0.74	0.92	0.89	0.75	-0.45	0.23	-0.4	0.64	-0.73	-0.22
Long Term Debt	-0.32	-0.04	-0.05	-0.37	-0.04	-0.09		-0.39	0.15	-0.35	-0.14	-0.44	-0.54	-0.03	-0.37	-0.09	0.03	-0.35	0.43	-0.19	0.28	-0.49	0.42	0.37
Net Receivables	0.97	0.67	0.49	0.96	0.73	0.77	-0.39		0.58	0.97	0.8	0.96	0.97	-0.22	0.92	0.77	0.69	0.86	-0.4	0.4	-0.57	0.83	-0.96	-0.63
Good Will	0.64	0.85	0.58	0.53	0.88	0.89	0.15	0.58		0.59	0.84	0.44	0.47	-0.43	0.55	0.83	0.88	0.54	-0.43	0.16	-0.15	0.37	-0.49	-0.12
Total Liab	0.99	0.7	0.56	0.99	0.74	0.78	-0.35	0.97	0.59		0.83	0.98	0.95	-0.3	0.89	0.76	0.68	0.79	-0.41	0.33	-0.58	0.77	-0.97	-0.55
Total Current Assets	0.86	0.95	0.71	0.79	0.97	0.99	-0.14	0.8	0.84	0.83		0.73	0.75	-0.52	0.75	0.92	0.88	0.75	-0.41	0.3	-0.44	0.66	-0.78	-0.22
Short Term Debt	0.95	0.56	0.42	0.99	0.61	0.67	-0.44	0.96	0.44	0.98	0.73		0.96	-0.15	0.88	0.64	0.54	0.78	-0.36	0.33	-0.62	0.8	-0.98	-0.57
Intangible Assets	0.94	0.61	0.47	0.95	0.65	0.71	-0.54	0.97	0.47	0.95	0.75	0.96		-0.22	0.93	0.69	0.58	0.83	-0.45	0.33	-0.64	0.83	-0.97	-0.62
Common Stock	-0.38	-0.69	-0.95	-0.23	-0.5	-0.53	-0.03	-0.22	-0.43	-0.3	-0.52	-0.15	-0.22		-0.33	-0.4	-0.42	-0.26	0.32	0.11	0.07	-0.16	0.23	0.1
Property Plant Equipment	0.9	0.63	0.56	0.88	0.64	0.74	-0.37	0.92	0.55	0.89	0.75	0.88	0.93	-0.33		0.63	0.64	0.83	-0.54	0.27	-0.5	0.75	-0.93	-0.61
Net Tangible Assets	0.81	0.91	0.6	0.71	0.97	0.92	-0.09	0.77	0.83	0.76	0.92	0.64	0.69	-0.4	0.63		0.89	0.74	-0.3	0.32	-0.46	0.64	-0.67	-0.33
Long Term Debt Total	0.73	0.86	0.59	0.63	0.9	0.89	0.03	0.69	0.88	0.68	0.88	0.54	0.58	-0.42	0.64	0.89		0.63	-0.43	0.43	-0.16	0.46	-0.59	-0.22
Capital Surpluse	0.81	0.67	0.47	0.76	0.69	0.75	-0.35	0.86	0.54	0.79	0.75	0.78	0.83	-0.26	0.83	0.74	0.63		-0.4	0.24	-0.45	0.95	-0.78	-0.71
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.43	-0.41	-0.38	-0.38	-0.38	-0.45	0.43	-0.4	-0.43	-0.41	-0.41	-0.36	-0.45	0.32	-0.54	-0.3	-0.43	-0.4		0.27	-0.13	-0.34	0.38	0.25
Treasury Stock	0.31	0.17	0.02	0.34	0.24	0.23	-0.19	0.4	0.16	0.33	0.3	0.33	0.33	0.11	0.27	0.32	0.43	0.24	0.27		-0.17	0.23	-0.34	-0.14
Short Long Term Debt	-0.57	-0.37	-0.28	-0.59	-0.41	-0.4	0.28	-0.57	-0.15	-0.58	-0.44	-0.62	-0.64	0.07	-0.5	-0.46	-0.16	-0.45	-0.13	-0.17		-0.44	0.65	0.28
Net Invested Capital	0.77	0.55	0.36	0.76	0.58	0.64	-0.49	0.83	0.37	0.77	0.66	0.8	0.83	-0.16	0.75	0.64	0.46	0.95	-0.34	0.23	-0.44		-0.77	-0.69
Net Working Capital	-0.95	-0.62	-0.49	-0.97	-0.66	-0.73	0.42	-0.96	-0.49	-0.97	-0.78	-0.98	-0.97	0.23	-0.93	-0.67	-0.59	-0.78	0.38	-0.34	0.65	-0.77		0.52
Capital Stock	-0.56	-0.18	-0.26	-0.52	-0.18	-0.22	0.37	-0.63	-0.12	-0.55	-0.22	-0.57	-0.62	0.1	-0.61	-0.33	-0.22	-0.71	0.25	-0.14	0.28	-0.69	0.52

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Natural Grocers

Based on the company's disclosures, Natural Grocers by has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Natural Grocers Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Natural Grocers from analyzing Natural Grocers' financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Natural Grocers' ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Natural Grocers' important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Market Cap	221.9M	253.5M	244.6M	293.4M	337.4M	400.7M
Enterprise Value	593.5M	631.3M	625.9M	645.2M	580.7M	391.1M

Natural Grocers Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Natural Grocers that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Natural Grocers' outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Natural Grocers' value.

		Shares
Lsv Asset Management	2023-12-31	173 K
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.	2023-12-31	165.9 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc	2023-12-31	161.5 K
American Century Companies Inc	2023-12-31	149.8 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc	2023-12-31	140 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2023-12-31	138.5 K
Green Alpha Advisors, Llc	2023-12-31	93.7 K
Northern Trust Corp	2023-12-31	88.1 K
Hussman Strategic Advisors Inc	2023-12-31	88 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.	2023-12-31	1.3 M
Blackrock Inc	2023-12-31	675.4 K

Natural Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.17
	Return On Asset	0.0353
	Profit Margin	0.02 %
	Operating Margin	0.04 %
	Current Valuation	743.06 M
	Shares Outstanding	22.75 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	44.13 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	32.89 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	127.9 K
	Price To Earning	10.25 X
	Price To Book	2.41 X
	Price To Sales	0.32 X
	Revenue	1.14 B
	Gross Profit	377.27 M
	EBITDA	62.58 M
	Net Income	23.24 M
	Cash And Equivalents	12.04 M
	Cash Per Share	0.53 X
	Total Debt	370.18 M
	Debt To Equity	2.52 %
	Current Ratio	1.02 X
	Book Value Per Share	6.76 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	64.61 M
	Short Ratio	1.63 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.17 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	6.47 X
	Target Price	19.0
	Number Of Employees	3.23 K
	Beta	1.0
	Market Capitalization	368.82 M
	Total Asset	669.18 M
	Retained Earnings	111.87 M
	Working Capital	(1.48 M)
	Current Asset	97.33 M
	Current Liabilities	66.54 M
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Net Asset	669.18 M
	Last Dividend Paid	0.4

About Natural Grocers Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Natural Grocers by's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Natural Grocers using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Grocers by based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

When determining whether Natural Grocers by offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Natural Grocers' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Natural Grocers By Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Natural Grocers By Stock:

How To Invest In Natural

Details

Is Natural Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Natural Grocers' Net Worth?

Details

Largest Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail Companies

View

Largest Consumer Defensive Companies

View

Check out Natural Grocers Piotroski F Score and Natural Grocers Valuation analysis.

You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis

When running Natural Grocers' price analysis, check to measure Natural Grocers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Grocers is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Grocers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Grocers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Grocers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Grocers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

	Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
	Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
	Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
	Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
	Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk

Is Natural Grocers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Grocers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.789

Dividend Share

0.4

Earnings Share

1.17

Revenue Per Share

51.103

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.076

The market value of Natural Grocers by is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Grocers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Grocers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Grocers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Grocers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Grocers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natural Grocers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Grocers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

Feedback Blog

Made with optimal in San Francisco

2024 Macroaxis LLC

Natural Grocers By Stock Z Score

Natural Grocers by Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Natural Z Score Driver Correlations

Natural Grocers Current Valuation Drivers

Natural Grocers Institutional Holders

Natural Fundamentals

About Natural Grocers Fundamental Analysis

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis

COMMON DESTINATIONS

MAIN CATEGORIES

COMPANY