Nvidia Stock Beneish M Score

NVDA Stock  USD 796.77  27.46  3.33%   
This module uses fundamental data of NVIDIA to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. NVIDIA M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out NVIDIA Piotroski F Score and NVIDIA Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade NVIDIA Stock refer to our How to Trade NVIDIA Stock guide.
  
At present, NVIDIA's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 4 B, whereas Short and Long Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 817.4 M. At present, NVIDIA's Invested Capital is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is expected to grow to 0.08, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 19.59.
At this time, it appears that NVIDIA is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if NVIDIA's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by NVIDIA executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of NVIDIA's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.18
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.96

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.85

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

NVIDIA Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if NVIDIA's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables10.5 B10 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue64 B60.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets69 B65.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets46.6 B44.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total22.5 B21.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment4.6 B4.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative2.8 B2.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities11.2 B10.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total12.7 B12.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt8.9 B8.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments19.6 B18.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.620.7272
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

NVIDIA Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between NVIDIA's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards NVIDIA in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find NVIDIA's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About NVIDIA Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

1.58 Billion

At present, NVIDIA's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

NVIDIA Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as NVIDIA. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.7B2.4B4.7B3.8B10.0B10.5B
Total Revenue10.9B16.7B26.9B27.0B60.9B64.0B
Total Assets17.3B28.8B44.2B41.2B65.7B69.0B
Total Current Assets13.7B16.1B28.8B23.1B44.3B46.6B
Net Debt(8.3B)6.8B9.7B8.5B3.8B4.0B
Long Term Debt2.0B6.0B10.9B9.7B8.5B8.9B
Operating Income2.8B4.5B10.0B4.2B33.0B34.6B
Investments6.6B(10.0B)(8.6B)7.4B(10.6B)(10.0B)

NVIDIA ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, NVIDIA's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to NVIDIA's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About NVIDIA Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze NVIDIA's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of NVIDIA using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of NVIDIA based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

NVIDIA Investors Sentiment

The influence of NVIDIA's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in NVIDIA. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to NVIDIA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NVIDIA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NVIDIA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NVIDIA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
NVIDIA's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for NVIDIA's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average NVIDIA's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on NVIDIA.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards NVIDIA in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, NVIDIA's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from NVIDIA options trading.

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When determining whether NVIDIA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NVIDIA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nvidia Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nvidia Stock:
Check out NVIDIA Piotroski F Score and NVIDIA Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade NVIDIA Stock refer to our How to Trade NVIDIA Stock guide.
Note that the NVIDIA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other NVIDIA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running NVIDIA's price analysis, check to measure NVIDIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVIDIA is operating at the current time. Most of NVIDIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVIDIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVIDIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVIDIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NVIDIA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NVIDIA. If investors know NVIDIA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NVIDIA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
7.613
Dividend Share
0.16
Earnings Share
11.95
Revenue Per Share
24.675
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.653
The market value of NVIDIA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NVIDIA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NVIDIA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NVIDIA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NVIDIA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NVIDIA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NVIDIA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NVIDIA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NVIDIA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.