Ovintiv Stock Beneish M Score

OVV Stock  USD 52.77  0.59  1.13%   
This module uses fundamental data of Ovintiv to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Ovintiv M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Ovintiv Piotroski F Score and Ovintiv Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Ovintiv Stock please use our How to Invest in Ovintiv guide.
  
At this time, Ovintiv's Short and Long Term Debt Total is fairly stable compared to the past year. Net Debt is likely to climb to about 6.9 B in 2024, whereas Long Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 4.1 B in 2024. At this time, Ovintiv's ROIC is fairly stable compared to the past year. Inventory Turnover is likely to climb to 465.57 in 2024, whereas Average Payables is likely to drop slightly above 1 B in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Ovintiv is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Ovintiv's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Ovintiv executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Ovintiv's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.45
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.1

Focus
Asset Quality

0.94

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.95

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.84

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.95

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.04

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.73

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.02

Focus

Ovintiv Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Ovintiv's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.1 B1.3 B
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Total Revenue7.9 B10.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets18.9 B20 B
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Current Assets2.4 B1.7 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total16.5 B18.3 B
Moderately Down
Pretty Stable
Property Plant Equipment8.8 B9.3 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.7 B1.8 B
Moderately Down
Very volatile
Selling General Administrative1.4 B2.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities2.3 B2.8 B
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total8.3 B6.8 B
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Net Debt6.9 B6.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Short Term Debt364.5 M378 M
Sufficiently Down
Very volatile
Long Term Debt4.1 B5.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities3.1 B4.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments47.1 M59 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments30.3 M26 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.590.3213
Way Up
Pretty Stable

Ovintiv Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Ovintiv's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Ovintiv in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Ovintiv's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Ovintiv Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

5.9 Billion

At this time, Ovintiv's Other Operating Expenses is fairly stable compared to the past year.

Ovintiv Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Ovintiv. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.4B1.1B1.3B1.5B1.3B1.1B
Total Revenue6.7B6.1B8.7B12.5B10.7B7.9B
Total Assets21.5B14.5B14.1B15.1B20.0B18.9B
Total Current Assets1.9B1.2B1.6B1.7B1.7B2.4B
Net Debt8.0B8.0B5.6B4.5B6.7B6.9B
Short Term Debt167M668M68M475M378M364.5M
Long Term Debt7.0B6.4B4.8B3.2B5.5B4.1B
Operating Income1.4B609M1.5B3.9B2.8B2.1B
Investments(2.6B)(1.9B)(20M)(1.8B)(5.5B)(5.2B)
Gross Profit Margin0.580.510.450.490.590.32

Ovintiv ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ovintiv's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ovintiv's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Ovintiv Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ovintiv's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ovintiv using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ovintiv based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Ovintiv is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ovintiv's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ovintiv's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ovintiv Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ovintiv Piotroski F Score and Ovintiv Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Ovintiv Stock please use our How to Invest in Ovintiv guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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Is Ovintiv's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ovintiv. If investors know Ovintiv will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ovintiv listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Dividend Share
1.15
Earnings Share
7.9
Revenue Per Share
41.02
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of Ovintiv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ovintiv that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ovintiv's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ovintiv's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ovintiv's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ovintiv's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ovintiv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ovintiv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ovintiv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.