Par Pacific Holdings Stock Z Score

PARR Stock

USD 32.69 0.06 0.18%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Par Pacific Piotroski F Score and Par Pacific Valuation analysis.

At this time, Par Pacific's Additional Paid In Capital is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/25/2024, Net Working Capital is likely to grow to about 488.1 M, while Capital Lease Obligations is likely to drop slightly above 236.6 M. At this time, Par Pacific's EBITDA is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/25/2024, Cost Of Revenue is likely to grow to about 7.8 B, though Income Tax Expense is likely to grow to (109.6 M).

Par Pacific Holdings Company Z Score Analysis

Par Pacific's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Par Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Par Pacific is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Par Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Par Pacific's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Par Pacific's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Par Pacific's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Investments	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Accumulated Depreciation	Long Term Debt Total	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.87	0.87	0.54	0.92	0.96	0.98	0.97	0.58	0.86	0.91	0.93	0.88	0.37	0.69	0.17	0.8	-0.17	-0.16	0.21	0.81	0.04	0.76	0.25	0.92
Total Stockholder Equity	0.87		0.76	0.69	0.94	0.94	0.75	0.89	0.75	0.65	0.73	0.69	0.68	0.04	0.5	0.19	0.93	-0.23	0.18	0.2	0.57	0.06	0.83	0.65	0.69
Net Debt	0.87	0.76		0.36	0.9	0.8	0.85	0.75	0.69	0.71	0.87	0.91	0.84	0.01	0.59	0.05	0.54	-0.08	-0.2	0.06	0.75	0.06	0.73	0.18	0.82
Retained Earnings	0.54	0.69	0.36		0.58	0.68	0.44	0.61	0.22	0.36	0.53	0.38	0.39	-0.01	0.41	0.33	0.72	-0.13	0.22	0.2	0.4	0.14	0.5	0.4	0.37
Accounts Payable	0.92	0.94	0.9	0.58		0.94	0.85	0.91	0.78	0.67	0.78	0.81	0.77	0.11	0.47	0.04	0.78	-0.13	-0.05	0.11	0.62	-0.08	0.84	0.51	0.85
Net Receivables	0.96	0.94	0.8	0.68	0.94		0.89	0.97	0.61	0.78	0.83	0.82	0.8	0.26	0.62	0.16	0.9	-0.23	0.04	0.26	0.69	0.07	0.78	0.43	0.83
Total Liab	0.98	0.75	0.85	0.44	0.85	0.89		0.92	0.47	0.89	0.92	0.96	0.9	0.49	0.72	0.15	0.68	-0.13	-0.3	0.2	0.86	0.03	0.67	0.06	0.95
Total Current Assets	0.97	0.89	0.75	0.61	0.91	0.97	0.92		0.58	0.79	0.8	0.82	0.79	0.45	0.56	0.12	0.87	-0.18	-0.11	0.23	0.69	-0.08	0.76	0.39	0.9
Short Term Debt	0.58	0.75	0.69	0.22	0.78	0.61	0.47	0.58		0.32	0.42	0.45	0.37	-0.2	0.08	-0.15	0.54	-0.07	0.12	-0.06	0.25	-0.17	0.67	0.69	0.5
Common Stock	0.86	0.65	0.71	0.36	0.67	0.78	0.89	0.79	0.32		0.9	0.86	0.79	0.44	0.82	0.46	0.63	-0.34	-0.04	0.45	0.89	0.18	0.53	-0.07	0.76
Long Term Debt	0.91	0.73	0.87	0.53	0.78	0.83	0.92	0.8	0.42	0.9		0.94	0.87	0.24	0.86	0.39	0.63	-0.18	-0.13	0.25	0.95	0.27	0.61	-0.02	0.8
Property Plant Equipment	0.93	0.69	0.91	0.38	0.81	0.82	0.96	0.82	0.45	0.86	0.94		0.91	0.33	0.77	0.16	0.58	0.0	-0.37	0.07	0.9	0.16	0.66	-0.03	0.89
Short Term Investments	0.88	0.68	0.84	0.39	0.77	0.8	0.9	0.79	0.37	0.79	0.87	0.91		0.33	0.75	0.12	0.58	-0.08	-0.26	0.1	0.83	0.12	0.64	-0.01	0.84
Current Deferred Revenue	0.37	0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.11	0.26	0.49	0.45	-0.2	0.44	0.24	0.33	0.33		0.25	-0.03	0.18	0.05	-0.46	0.1	0.33	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	0.55
Good Will	0.69	0.5	0.59	0.41	0.47	0.62	0.72	0.56	0.08	0.82	0.86	0.77	0.75	0.25		0.53	0.52	-0.17	0.0	0.28	0.93	0.62	0.45	-0.23	0.52
Intangible Assets	0.17	0.19	0.05	0.33	0.04	0.16	0.15	0.12	-0.15	0.46	0.39	0.16	0.12	-0.03	0.53		0.26	-0.48	0.38	0.56	0.42	0.46	-0.08	-0.14	-0.05
Net Tangible Assets	0.8	0.93	0.54	0.72	0.78	0.9	0.68	0.87	0.54	0.63	0.63	0.58	0.58	0.18	0.52	0.26		-0.32	0.28	0.33	0.5	0.19	0.73	0.61	0.58
Capital Surpluse	-0.17	-0.23	-0.08	-0.13	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-0.18	-0.07	-0.34	-0.18	0.0	-0.08	0.05	-0.17	-0.48	-0.32		-0.65	-0.96	-0.1	-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	0.0
Long Term Investments	-0.16	0.18	-0.2	0.22	-0.05	0.04	-0.3	-0.11	0.12	-0.04	-0.13	-0.37	-0.26	-0.46	0.0	0.38	0.28	-0.65		0.58	-0.19	0.3	0.04	0.42	-0.44
Accumulated Depreciation	0.21	0.2	0.06	0.2	0.11	0.26	0.2	0.23	-0.06	0.45	0.25	0.07	0.1	0.1	0.28	0.56	0.33	-0.96	0.58		0.21	0.12	0.03	-0.05	0.06
Long Term Debt Total	0.81	0.57	0.75	0.4	0.62	0.69	0.86	0.69	0.25	0.89	0.95	0.9	0.83	0.33	0.93	0.42	0.5	-0.1	-0.19	0.21		0.34	0.57	-0.19	0.72
Short Long Term Debt	0.04	0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.08	0.07	0.03	-0.08	-0.17	0.18	0.27	0.16	0.12	-0.26	0.62	0.46	0.19	-0.1	0.3	0.12	0.34		0.02	-0.18	-0.21
Net Invested Capital	0.76	0.83	0.73	0.5	0.84	0.78	0.67	0.76	0.67	0.53	0.61	0.66	0.64	0.02	0.45	-0.08	0.73	-0.03	0.04	0.03	0.57	0.02		0.53	0.64
Net Working Capital	0.25	0.65	0.18	0.4	0.51	0.43	0.06	0.39	0.69	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.27	-0.23	-0.14	0.61	-0.08	0.42	-0.05	-0.19	-0.18	0.53		0.11
Capital Stock	0.92	0.69	0.82	0.37	0.85	0.83	0.95	0.9	0.5	0.76	0.8	0.89	0.84	0.55	0.52	-0.05	0.58	0.0	-0.44	0.06	0.72	-0.21	0.64	0.11

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Par Pacific

Based on the company's disclosures, Par Pacific Holdings has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Energy industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Par Pacific Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Par Pacific that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Par Pacific's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Par Pacific's value.

		Shares
Rubric Capital Management Lp	2023-12-31	1.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc	2023-12-31	1.2 M
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc	2023-12-31	1.1 M
Punch & Associates Inv Mgmt Inc	2023-12-31	1 M
American Century Companies Inc	2023-12-31	1 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc	2023-12-31	890.8 K
Towle & Co	2023-12-31	881.2 K
Hennessy Advisors, Inc.	2024-03-31	853 K
Balyasny Asset Management Llc	2023-12-31	791.8 K
Blackrock Inc	2023-12-31	8.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2023-12-31	5.6 M

Par Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.74
	Return On Asset	0.12
	Profit Margin	0.09 %
	Operating Margin	0.08 %
	Current Valuation	2.67 B
	Shares Outstanding	59.34 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.53 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	96.46 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.66 M
	Price To Earning	9.02 X
	Price To Book	1.53 X
	Price To Sales	0.25 X
	Revenue	8.23 B
	Gross Profit	945.77 M
	EBITDA	855.9 M
	Net Income	728.64 M
	Cash And Equivalents	186.18 M
	Cash Per Share	3.09 X
	Total Debt	1.61 B
	Debt To Equity	3.11 %
	Current Ratio	0.88 X
	Book Value Per Share	22.35 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	670.78 M
	Short Ratio	2.16 X
	Earnings Per Share	11.94 X
	Target Price	43.5
	Number Of Employees	1.81 K
	Beta	1.95
	Market Capitalization	1.94 B
	Total Asset	3.86 B
	Retained Earnings	465.86 M
	Working Capital	464.89 M
	Current Asset	531.75 M
	Current Liabilities	365.04 M
	Net Asset	3.86 B

About Par Pacific Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Par Pacific Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Par Pacific using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Par Pacific Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Par Pacific Investors Sentiment

The influence of Par Pacific's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Par. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Investor biases related to Par Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Par. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Par can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Par Pacific Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Par Pacific's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Par Pacific's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Par Pacific's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Par Pacific.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Par Pacific in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Par Pacific's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Par Pacific options trading.

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Par Pacific Holdings using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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When determining whether Par Pacific Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Par Pacific's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Par Pacific's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Par Stock, refer to the following important reports:

How To Invest In Par

Details

Is Par Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Par Pacific's Net Worth?

Details

Largest Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Companies

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Largest Energy Companies

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Check out Par Pacific Piotroski F Score and Par Pacific Valuation analysis.

You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

Complementary Tools for Par Stock analysis

When running Par Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Par Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Par Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Par Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Par Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Par Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Par Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Par Pacific's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Par Pacific. If investors know Par will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Par Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

2.408

Earnings Share

11.94

Revenue Per Share

137.119

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.207

Return On Assets

0.12

The market value of Par Pacific Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Par that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Par Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Par Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Par Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Par Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Par Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Par Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Par Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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Par Pacific Holdings Stock Z Score

Par Pacific Holdings Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Par Z Score Driver Correlations

Par Pacific Institutional Holders

Par Fundamentals

About Par Pacific Fundamental Analysis

Par Pacific Investors Sentiment

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Complementary Tools for Par Stock analysis

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