Polaris Industries Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| PII Stock | USD 86.53 0.23 0.27% |
Polaris | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Polaris Industries Company probability of distress Analysis
Polaris Industries' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Polaris Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 5% |
Most of Polaris Industries' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Polaris Industries is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Polaris Industries probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Polaris Industries odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Polaris Industries financial health.
Is Polaris Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Polaris Industries. If investors know Polaris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Polaris Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Dividend Share 2.6 | Earnings Share 8.71 | Revenue Per Share 157.877 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Polaris Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Polaris that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Polaris Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Polaris Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Polaris Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Polaris Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Polaris Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Polaris Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Polaris Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Polaris Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Polaris Industries is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Polaris Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Polaris Industries' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Polaris Industries' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Polaris Industries' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Polaris Industries has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 87.92% lower than that of the Leisure Products sector and 84.09% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.
Polaris Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Polaris Industries' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Polaris Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Polaris Industries by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Polaris Industries is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Polaris Industries Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.0731 | 0.0269 | 0.0978 | 0.12 | 0.0911 | 0.18 | |
| Asset Turnover | 1.47 | 1.53 | 1.52 | 1.62 | 1.65 | 2.41 | |
| Net Debt | 1.6B | 943M | 1.5B | 1.8B | 1.7B | 1.8B | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 1.5B | 1.9B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 1.9B | 2.0B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.8B | 2.2B | 2.3B | |
| Total Assets | 4.4B | 4.6B | 5.0B | 5.2B | 5.5B | 5.8B | |
| Total Current Assets | 1.6B | 2.2B | 2.6B | 2.8B | 2.7B | 2.8B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 655.0M | 1.0B | 293.7M | 508.6M | 962.8M | 1.0B |
Polaris Industries ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Polaris Industries' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Polaris Industries' managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Polaris Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.4 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0816 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 6.74 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 56.48 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.92 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.00 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.79 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 13.91 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.61 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.57 X | ||||
| Revenue | 15.91 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.01 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 700.9 M | ||||
| Net Income | 502.8 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 324.5 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.62 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.05 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.20 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.28 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 25.10 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 962.8 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 5.68 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 8.71 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.90 X | ||||
| Target Price | 100.73 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 18.5 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.58 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.06 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.52 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 243.5 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 757.9 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.15 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 826.78 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 2.45 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 5.52 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 2.6 |
About Polaris Industries Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Polaris Industries's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Polaris Industries using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Polaris Industries based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Polaris Industries Investors Sentiment
The influence of Polaris Industries' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Polaris. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Polaris Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Polaris. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Polaris can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Polaris Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Polaris Industries' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Polaris Industries' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Polaris Industries' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Polaris Industries.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Polaris Industries in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Polaris Industries' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Polaris Industries options trading.
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Polaris Industries using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.Build Optimal Portfolios
Align your risk with return expectations
Check out Polaris Industries Piotroski F Score and Polaris Industries Altman Z Score analysis. For more detail on how to invest in Polaris Stock please use our How to Invest in Polaris Industries guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Complementary Tools for Polaris Stock analysis
When running Polaris Industries' price analysis, check to measure Polaris Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Polaris Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Polaris Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Polaris Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Polaris Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Polaris Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated |
Is Polaris Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Polaris Industries. If investors know Polaris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Polaris Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Dividend Share 2.6 | Earnings Share 8.71 | Revenue Per Share 157.877 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Polaris Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Polaris that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Polaris Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Polaris Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Polaris Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Polaris Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Polaris Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Polaris Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Polaris Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.