Origin Agritech Stock Z Score

SEED Stock  USD 3.54  0.27  8.26%   
Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Origin Agritech Piotroski F Score and Origin Agritech Valuation analysis.
For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide.
  
At present, Origin Agritech's Invested Capital is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. At present, Origin Agritech's EBITDA is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Income Before Tax is expected to grow to about 59.4 M, whereas Interest Expense is forecasted to decline to about 1.1 M.

Origin Agritech Company Z Score Analysis

Origin Agritech's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

 = 

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

 = 

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

 = 

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

 = 

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

 = 

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

 = 

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Origin Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Origin Agritech is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Origin Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Origin Agritech's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Origin Agritech's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Origin Agritech's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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0.660.860.220.40.610.630.88-0.710.330.690.17-0.55-0.57-0.110.83-0.73-0.34-0.510.89
Click cells to compare fundamentals
To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Competition

Based on the company's disclosures, Origin Agritech has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Food Products sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Origin Agritech Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Origin Agritech from analyzing Origin Agritech's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Origin Agritech's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Origin Agritech's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Market Cap321.0M296.2M346.6M158.2M591.2M523.9M
Enterprise Value439.4M421.6M468.2M134.7M590.4M612.0M

Origin Agritech Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Origin Agritech that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Origin Agritech's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Origin Agritech's value.
Shares
Pfg Advisors2023-12-31
0.0
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-12-31
0.0
Corecap Advisors, Llc2023-09-30
0.0
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
35.5 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2023-12-31
21.5 K
First Wilshire Securities Mgmt Inc (ca)2023-12-31
19.5 K
Xtx Topco Ltd2023-12-31
13.1 K
Oppenheimer & Co Inc2023-12-31
13 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
4.8 K
Group One Trading, Lp2023-12-31
100.0
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
55.0

Origin Fundamentals

About Origin Agritech Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Origin Agritech's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Origin Agritech using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Agritech based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Origin Agritech is a strong investment it is important to analyze Origin Agritech's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Origin Agritech's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Origin Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Origin Agritech Piotroski F Score and Origin Agritech Valuation analysis.
For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide.
Note that the Origin Agritech information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Origin Agritech's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis

When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Origin Agritech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Agritech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
1.16
Revenue Per Share
14.254
Quarterly Revenue Growth
3.38
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(3.72)
The market value of Origin Agritech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Agritech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Agritech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Agritech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Agritech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.