First Eagle Overseas Fund Probability Of Bankruptcy

SGOVX Fund  USD 25.08  0.05  0.20%   
First Eagle's odds of distress is under 38% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the First balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out First Eagle Piotroski F Score and First Eagle Altman Z Score analysis.
  

First Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

First Eagle's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current First Eagle Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 38%  
Most of First Eagle's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, First Eagle Overseas is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of First Eagle probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting First Eagle odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of First Eagle Overseas financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Eagle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

First Eagle Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, First Eagle Overseas has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 38.0%. This is much higher than that of the First Eagle family and significantly higher than that of the Foreign Large Blend category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

First Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses First Eagle's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of First Eagle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Eagle by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
First Eagle is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

First Fundamentals

About First Eagle Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze First Eagle Overseas's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of First Eagle using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Eagle Overseas based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The fund will invest primarily in equity securities of non-U.S. companies, the majority of which are traded in mature markets and may invest in countries whose economies are still developing. It invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in foreign securities and counts relevant derivative positions towards this 80 percent of assets allocation, and in doing so, values each position at the price at which it is held on its books.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards First Eagle in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, First Eagle's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from First Eagle options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out First Eagle Piotroski F Score and First Eagle Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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When running First Eagle's price analysis, check to measure First Eagle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Eagle is operating at the current time. Most of First Eagle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Eagle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Eagle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Eagle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between First Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Eagle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.