Shopify Stock Z Score

SHOP Stock  USD 77.17  1.45  1.84%   
Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Shopify Piotroski F Score and Shopify Valuation analysis.
To learn how to invest in Shopify Stock, please use our How to Invest in Shopify guide.
  
At this time, Shopify's Change In Working Capital is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/28/2024, Long Term Debt To Capitalization is likely to grow to 0.12, while Net Invested Capital is likely to drop slightly above 7 B. At this time, Shopify's Cost Of Revenue is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/28/2024, Total Operating Expenses is likely to grow to about 3.8 B, though EBIT is likely to grow to (150.1 M).

Shopify Z Score Analysis

Shopify's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Book Value Ratio15.425.3311.0115.57
Operating Cycle52.8655.9269.1936.38

Z Score

 = 

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

Current Shopify Z Score

    
  53.77  
Most of Shopify's fundamental indicators, such as Z Score, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Shopify is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

First Factor

 = 

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

 = 

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

 = 

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

 = 

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

 = 

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Shopify Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Shopify is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Shopify Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Shopify's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Shopify's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Shopify's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Competition

Based on the company's disclosures, Shopify has a Z Score of 53. This is 299.78% higher than that of the IT Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The z score for all United States stocks is notably lower than that of the firm.

Shopify Z Score Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Shopify's direct or indirect competition against its Z Score to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Shopify could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shopify by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Shopify is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies.

Shopify Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Shopify that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Shopify's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Shopify's value.
Shares
Sands Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
14.8 M
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2023-12-31
13.7 M
Bank Of Montreal2023-12-31
13.5 M
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.2023-12-31
13.5 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
13.5 M
Fidelity International Ltd2023-12-31
13.3 M
Franklin Resources Inc2023-12-31
11.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
11.3 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
10.2 M
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2023-12-31
64.2 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
52.5 M

Shopify Fundamentals

About Shopify Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Shopify's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Shopify using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shopify based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Shopify Inc., a commerce company, provides a commerce platform and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Shopify Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada. Shopify operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 10000 people.

Shopify Investors Sentiment

The influence of Shopify's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Shopify. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Shopify's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Shopify. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Shopify can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Shopify. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Shopify's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Shopify's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Shopify's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Shopify.

Shopify Implied Volatility

    
  50.42  
Shopify's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shopify stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shopify's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shopify stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shopify's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Shopify in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Shopify's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Shopify options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Shopify is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Shopify Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Shopify Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Shopify Stock:
Check out Shopify Piotroski F Score and Shopify Valuation analysis.
To learn how to invest in Shopify Stock, please use our How to Invest in Shopify guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Complementary Tools for Shopify Stock analysis

When running Shopify's price analysis, check to measure Shopify's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shopify is operating at the current time. Most of Shopify's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shopify's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shopify's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shopify to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Shopify's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shopify. If investors know Shopify will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shopify listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.858
Earnings Share
0.1
Revenue Per Share
5.509
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.236
Return On Assets
0.0147
The market value of Shopify is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shopify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shopify's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shopify's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shopify's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shopify's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shopify's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shopify is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shopify's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.