Steel Dynamics Stock Beneish M Score

STLD Stock  USD 134.16  3.14  2.29%   
This module uses fundamental data of Steel Dynamics to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Steel Dynamics M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Steel Dynamics Piotroski F Score and Steel Dynamics Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Steel Stock refer to our How to Trade Steel Stock guide.
  
At present, Steel Dynamics' Short and Long Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Interest Debt Per Share is expected to grow to 20.18, whereas Net Debt is forecasted to decline to about 1.4 B. At present, Steel Dynamics' PTB Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Days Sales Outstanding is expected to grow to 44.13, whereas Invested Capital is forecasted to decline to 0.33.
At this time, it appears that Steel Dynamics is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Steel Dynamics' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Steel Dynamics executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Steel Dynamics' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.43
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.95

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.57

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.06

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.57

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.88

Focus

Steel Dynamics Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Steel Dynamics' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.7 B1.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue19.7 B18.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets15.7 B15 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets7.1 B6.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total8.6 B8.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment6.6 B6.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization459.7 M437.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative342.8 M574 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities2.4 B2.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.2 B3.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt1.4 B1.8 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Short Term Debt505 M481 M
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term DebtB2.6 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments14.7 M16.6 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.210.1987
Notably Up
Slightly volatile

Steel Dynamics Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Steel Dynamics' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Steel Dynamics in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Steel Dynamics' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Steel Dynamics Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

459.69 Million

At present, Steel Dynamics' Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Steel Dynamics Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Steel Dynamics. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables844.3M971.9M1.9B2.1B1.6B1.7B
Total Revenue10.5B9.6B18.4B22.3B18.8B19.7B
Total Assets8.3B9.3B12.5B14.2B15.0B15.7B
Total Current Assets4.3B4.3B6.9B7.6B6.8B7.1B
Net Debt1.4B1.7B1.9B1.4B1.8B1.4B
Short Term Debt89.4M86.9M97.2M57.3M481.0M505.0M
Long Term Debt2.6B3.0B3.0B3.0B2.6B2.0B
Operating Income986.9M847.1M4.3B5.1B3.2B3.3B
Investments(33.4M)262.2M(999.4M)(1.9B)(1.7B)(1.6B)

Steel Dynamics ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Steel Dynamics' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Steel Dynamics' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Steel Dynamics Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Steel Dynamics's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Steel Dynamics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Steel Dynamics based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Steel Dynamics Investors Sentiment

The influence of Steel Dynamics' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Steel. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Steel Dynamics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Steel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Steel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Steel Dynamics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Steel Dynamics' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Steel Dynamics' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Steel Dynamics' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Steel Dynamics.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Steel Dynamics in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Steel Dynamics' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Steel Dynamics options trading.

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When determining whether Steel Dynamics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Steel Dynamics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Steel Dynamics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Steel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Steel Dynamics Piotroski F Score and Steel Dynamics Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Steel Stock refer to our How to Trade Steel Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Steel Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure Steel Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Steel Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of Steel Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Steel Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Steel Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Steel Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Steel Dynamics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Steel Dynamics. If investors know Steel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Steel Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Dividend Share
1.7
Earnings Share
14.64
Revenue Per Share
112.85
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of Steel Dynamics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Steel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Steel Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Steel Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Steel Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Steel Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Steel Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Steel Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Steel Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.