Southwestern Energy Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

SWN Stock  USD 7.51  0.18  2.46%   
Southwestern Energy's probability of distress is less than 3% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crisis in the next 24 months. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Southwestern balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Southwestern Energy Piotroski F Score and Southwestern Energy Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Southwestern Stock, please use our How to Invest in Southwestern Energy guide.
  

Southwestern Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Southwestern Energy's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Gross Profit4.2B9.4B2.9B3.0B
Total Revenue6.7B15.0B6.5B6.8B

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Southwestern Energy Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 3%  
Most of Southwestern Energy's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Southwestern Energy is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Southwestern Energy probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Southwestern Energy odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Southwestern Energy financial health.
Is Southwestern Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southwestern Energy. If investors know Southwestern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southwestern Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Earnings Share
1.41
Revenue Per Share
5.924
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.50)
Return On Assets
0.1589
The market value of Southwestern Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southwestern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southwestern Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southwestern Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southwestern Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southwestern Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southwestern Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southwestern Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southwestern Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Southwestern Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Southwestern Energy is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Southwestern Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Southwestern Energy's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Southwestern Energy's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Southwestern Energy's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Southwestern Energy has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.78% lower than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and 93.84% lower than that of the Energy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

Southwestern Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Southwestern Energy's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Southwestern Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southwestern Energy by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Southwestern Energy is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Southwestern Energy Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Asset Turnover0.430.670.450.561.160.54
Net Debt2.4B3.3B5.6B4.5B4.1B4.3B
Total Current Liabilities848M1.0B3.1B3.5B1.7B928.6M
Non Current Liabilities Total2.6B2.6B3.7B6.2B4.4B2.5B
Total Assets6.7B5.2B11.8B12.9B663M629.9M
Total Current Assets679M671M1.4B1.7B1.4B1.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities964M528M1.4B3.2B2.5B2.6B

Southwestern Fundamentals

About Southwestern Energy Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Southwestern Energy's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Southwestern Energy using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Southwestern Energy based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Southwestern Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids in the United States. Southwestern Energy Company was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas. Southwestern Energy operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 938 people.

Southwestern Energy Investors Sentiment

The influence of Southwestern Energy's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Southwestern. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Southwestern Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Southwestern. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Southwestern can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Southwestern Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Southwestern Energy's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Southwestern Energy's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Southwestern Energy's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Southwestern Energy.

Southwestern Energy Implied Volatility

    
  134.1  
Southwestern Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Southwestern Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Southwestern Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Southwestern Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Southwestern Energy's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Southwestern Energy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Southwestern Energy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Southwestern Energy options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Southwestern Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Southwestern Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Southwestern Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Southwestern Energy Stock:
Check out Southwestern Energy Piotroski F Score and Southwestern Energy Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Southwestern Stock, please use our How to Invest in Southwestern Energy guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for Southwestern Stock analysis

When running Southwestern Energy's price analysis, check to measure Southwestern Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Southwestern Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Southwestern Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Southwestern Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Southwestern Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Southwestern Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Southwestern Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southwestern Energy. If investors know Southwestern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southwestern Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Earnings Share
1.41
Revenue Per Share
5.924
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.50)
Return On Assets
0.1589
The market value of Southwestern Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southwestern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southwestern Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southwestern Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southwestern Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southwestern Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southwestern Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southwestern Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southwestern Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.