TuanChe Probability Of Bankruptcy

TC Stock  USD 0.52  0.02  4.00%   
TuanChe ADR Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. TuanChe ADR Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting TuanChe Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the TuanChe balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out TuanChe ADR Piotroski F Score and TuanChe ADR Altman Z Score analysis. For information on how to trade TuanChe Stock refer to our How to Trade TuanChe Stock guide.
  
TuanChe ADR Average Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Average Equity was at 147.77 Million. The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 13.8 M, whereas Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are forecasted to decline to (171.7 M).

TuanChe Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

TuanChe ADR's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Revenues USD50.49 M55.87 M26.28 M26.97 M
Revenues330.23 M357.55 M183.19 M188.01 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current TuanChe ADR Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 80%  
Most of TuanChe ADR's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, TuanChe ADR is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of TuanChe ADR probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting TuanChe ADR odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of TuanChe ADR financial health.
Is TuanChe ADR's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TuanChe ADR. If investors know TuanChe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TuanChe ADR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.09)
Revenue Per Share
9.173
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.43)
Return On Assets
(0.19)
Return On Equity
(1.07)
The market value of TuanChe ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TuanChe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TuanChe ADR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TuanChe ADR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TuanChe ADR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TuanChe ADR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TuanChe ADR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TuanChe ADR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TuanChe ADR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

TuanChe Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for TuanChe ADR is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of TuanChe Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since TuanChe ADR's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of TuanChe ADR's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of TuanChe ADR's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, TuanChe ADR has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 80%. This is 54.98% higher than that of the Communication Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Internet Content & Information industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 100.85% lower than that of the firm.

TuanChe Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses TuanChe ADR's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of TuanChe ADR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TuanChe ADR by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
TuanChe ADR is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

TuanChe ADR Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201820192020202120222023 (projected)
Return on Average Assets(0.27)(0.4)(0.33)(0.25)(0.54)(0.58)
Asset Turnover1.551.020.680.890.620.91
Gross Margin0.720.710.730.760.660.65
Total Liabilities123.94 M144.22 M187.35 M159.76 M134.13 M156.54 M
Current Liabilities123.94 M142.06 M176.16 M151.78 M100.21 M111.58 M
Total Assets725.92 M567.2 M474.41 M353.07 M235.27 M332.09 M
Current Assets699.63 M531.38 M311.4 M205.71 M173.67 M263.28 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations(53.34 M)(161.81 M)(88.85 M)(92.25 M)(109.68 M)(118.34 M)
Weighted Average Shares121.94 M294.92 M304.44 M306.79 M319.54 M294.88 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted121.94 M294.92 M304.44 M306.79 M319.54 M294.88 M

TuanChe Fundamentals

About TuanChe ADR Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze TuanChe ADR's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of TuanChe ADR using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of TuanChe ADR based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
TuanChe Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as an omni-channel automotive marketplace in China. TuanChe Limited was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. TuanChe operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 621 people.

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Check out TuanChe ADR Piotroski F Score and TuanChe ADR Altman Z Score analysis. For information on how to trade TuanChe Stock refer to our How to Trade TuanChe Stock guide. Note that the TuanChe ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TuanChe ADR's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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Is TuanChe ADR's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TuanChe ADR. If investors know TuanChe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TuanChe ADR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.09)
Revenue Per Share
9.173
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.43)
Return On Assets
(0.19)
Return On Equity
(1.07)
The market value of TuanChe ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TuanChe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TuanChe ADR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TuanChe ADR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TuanChe ADR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TuanChe ADR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TuanChe ADR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TuanChe ADR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TuanChe ADR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.