Tractor Supply Stock Beneish M Score
| TSCO Stock | USD 253.38 0.59 0.23% |
Tractor | Beneish M Score |
At this time, it appears that Tractor Supply is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Tractor Supply's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Tractor Supply executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Tractor Supply's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.58
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Tractor Supply Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends
The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Tractor Supply's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Total Revenue | 15.3 B | 14.6 B |
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| Total Assets | 9.6 B | 9.2 B |
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| Total Current Assets | 3.4 B | 3.3 B |
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| Non Current Assets Total | 6.2 B | 5.9 B |
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| Property Plant Equipment | 2.5 B | 2.4 B |
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| Depreciation And Amortization | 412.7 M | 393 M |
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| Selling General Administrative | 3.4 B | 3.3 B |
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| Total Current Liabilities | 2.3 B | 2.2 B |
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| Non Current Liabilities Total | 5.1 B | 4.9 B |
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| Short Term Debt | 391.4 M | 372.8 M |
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| Long Term Debt | 1.8 B | 1.7 B |
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| Operating Income | 1.6 B | 1.5 B |
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| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 1.4 B | 1.3 B |
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| Long Term Investments | 77.8 K | 81.9 K |
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| Gross Profit Margin | 0.25 | 0.32 |
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Tractor Supply Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix
One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Tractor Supply's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Tractor Supply in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Tractor Supply's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.
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About Tractor Supply Beneish M Score
M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.
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Tractor Supply Earnings Manipulation Drivers
Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Tractor Supply. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Net Receivables | 4.1M | (558K) | 1.0 | 17.1M | 2.5M | 2.3M | |
| Total Revenue | 8.4B | 10.6B | 12.7B | 14.2B | 14.6B | 15.3B | |
| Total Assets | 5.3B | 7.0B | 7.8B | 8.5B | 9.2B | 9.6B | |
| Total Current Assets | 1.8B | 3.3B | 3.3B | 3.2B | 3.3B | 3.4B | |
| Net Debt | 2.6B | 2.2B | 3.0B | 4.1B | 4.6B | 4.9B | |
| Short Term Debt | 311.1M | 303.3M | 325.2M | 349.6M | 372.8M | 391.4M | |
| Long Term Debt | 366.5M | 984.3M | 986.4M | 1.2B | 1.7B | 1.8B | |
| Operating Income | 743.2M | 996.9M | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.6B | |
| Investments | (215.0M) | (292.2M) | (627.3M) | (1.1B) | (1.1B) | (1.0B) |
Tractor Supply ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Tractor Supply's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Tractor Supply's managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
About Tractor Supply Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Tractor Supply's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Tractor Supply using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tractor Supply based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Tractor Supply Investors Sentiment
The influence of Tractor Supply's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Tractor. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Tractor Supply's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tractor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tractor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tractor Supply. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Tractor Supply's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Tractor Supply's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Tractor Supply's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Tractor Supply.
Tractor Supply Implied Volatility | 81.59 |
Tractor Supply's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tractor Supply stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tractor Supply's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tractor Supply stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tractor Supply's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tractor Supply in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tractor Supply's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tractor Supply options trading.
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When determining whether Tractor Supply offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tractor Supply's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tractor Supply Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tractor Supply Stock:Check out Tractor Supply Piotroski F Score and Tractor Supply Altman Z Score analysis. To learn how to invest in Tractor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tractor Supply guide.Note that the Tractor Supply information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tractor Supply's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Complementary Tools for Tractor Stock analysis
When running Tractor Supply's price analysis, check to measure Tractor Supply's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tractor Supply is operating at the current time. Most of Tractor Supply's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tractor Supply's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tractor Supply's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tractor Supply to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tractor Supply's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tractor Supply. If investors know Tractor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tractor Supply listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 4.12 | Earnings Share 10.08 | Revenue Per Share 133.421 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Tractor Supply is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tractor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tractor Supply's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tractor Supply's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tractor Supply's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tractor Supply's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tractor Supply's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tractor Supply is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tractor Supply's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.