Tractor Supply Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| TSCO Stock | USD 253.38 0.59 0.23% |
Tractor | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Tractor Supply Company odds of distress Analysis
Tractor Supply's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Tractor Supply Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 5% |
Most of Tractor Supply's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Tractor Supply is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Tractor Supply probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Tractor Supply odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Tractor Supply financial health.
Is Tractor Supply's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tractor Supply. If investors know Tractor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tractor Supply listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 4.12 | Earnings Share 10.08 | Revenue Per Share 133.421 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Tractor Supply is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tractor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tractor Supply's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tractor Supply's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tractor Supply's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tractor Supply's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tractor Supply's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tractor Supply is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tractor Supply's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Tractor Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Tractor Supply is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Tractor Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Tractor Supply's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Tractor Supply's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Tractor Supply's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Tractor Supply has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 87.92% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and 81.36% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.
Tractor Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Tractor Supply's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Tractor Supply could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tractor Supply by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Tractor Supply is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Tractor Supply Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Net Debt | 2.6B | 2.2B | 3.0B | 4.1B | 4.6B | 4.9B | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 1.2B | 1.7B | 2.1B | 2.4B | 2.2B | 2.3B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 2.5B | 3.4B | 3.7B | 4.1B | 4.9B | 5.1B | |
| Total Assets | 5.3B | 7.0B | 7.8B | 8.5B | 9.2B | 9.6B | |
| Total Current Assets | 1.8B | 3.3B | 3.3B | 3.2B | 3.3B | 3.4B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 811.7M | 1.4B | 1.1B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.4B |
Tractor Supply ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Tractor Supply's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Tractor Supply's managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Tractor Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.53 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 31.98 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 107.93 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.27 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.73 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.55 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 24.49 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 12.30 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.82 X | ||||
| Revenue | 14.56 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 4.97 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.87 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.11 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 211.24 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.91 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 5.04 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.09 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.48 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 19.91 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.33 B | ||||
| Short Ratio | 9.17 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 10.08 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.57 X | ||||
| Target Price | 248.18 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 25 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.84 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 27.35 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 9.19 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 6.28 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.09 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.44 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 671.28 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 1.27 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 9.19 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 4.12 |
About Tractor Supply Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Tractor Supply's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Tractor Supply using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tractor Supply based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Tractor Supply Investors Sentiment
The influence of Tractor Supply's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Tractor. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Tractor Supply's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tractor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tractor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tractor Supply. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Tractor Supply's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Tractor Supply's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Tractor Supply's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Tractor Supply.
Tractor Supply Implied Volatility | 81.59 |
Tractor Supply's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tractor Supply stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tractor Supply's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tractor Supply stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tractor Supply's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tractor Supply in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tractor Supply's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tractor Supply options trading.
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When determining whether Tractor Supply offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tractor Supply's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tractor Supply Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tractor Supply Stock:Check out Tractor Supply Piotroski F Score and Tractor Supply Altman Z Score analysis. To learn how to invest in Tractor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tractor Supply guide.Note that the Tractor Supply information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tractor Supply's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Tractor Stock analysis
When running Tractor Supply's price analysis, check to measure Tractor Supply's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tractor Supply is operating at the current time. Most of Tractor Supply's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tractor Supply's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tractor Supply's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tractor Supply to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tractor Supply's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tractor Supply. If investors know Tractor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tractor Supply listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 4.12 | Earnings Share 10.08 | Revenue Per Share 133.421 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Tractor Supply is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tractor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tractor Supply's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tractor Supply's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tractor Supply's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tractor Supply's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tractor Supply's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tractor Supply is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tractor Supply's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.