Ternium Sa Adr Stock Beneish M Score

TX Stock  USD 42.67  0.52  1.20%   
This module uses fundamental data of Ternium SA to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Ternium SA M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Ternium SA Piotroski F Score and Ternium SA Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Long Term Debt Total is likely to rise to about 1.3 B in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 2.2 B in 2024. At this time, Ternium SA's Payout Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. PE Ratio is likely to rise to 18.06 in 2024, whereas Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.04 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Ternium SA ADR is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Ternium SA's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Ternium SA executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Ternium SA's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.91
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

2.07

Focus
Asset Quality

-1.27

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.69

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.41

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.69

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.95

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.51

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.15

Focus

Ternium SA Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Ternium SA's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables3.3 B3.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue9.7 B19 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets12.4 B24.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets12.7 B12.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total7.4 B12.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment5.3 B7.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization549 M710.7 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative601.8 M440.1 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current LiabilitiesB3.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities TotalB3.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt783.6 M995.1 M
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Long Term DebtB1.2 B
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Income1.6 B2.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.4 B2.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments2.1 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments526.9 M728.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.290.2052
Significantly Up
Very volatile

Ternium SA ADR Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Ternium SA's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Ternium SA in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Ternium SA's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Ternium SA Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Current Deferred Revenue

117.43 Million

At this time, Ternium SA's Current Deferred Revenue is fairly stable compared to the past year.

Ternium SA Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Ternium SA. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.3B1.2B2.1B1.8B3.2B3.3B
Total Revenue10.2B8.7B16.1B16.4B19.0B9.7B
Total Assets12.9B12.9B17.1B17.5B24.2B12.4B
Total Current Assets4.2B4.6B8.6B8.8B12.1B12.7B
Net Debt2.0B1.5B462.1M(382.3M)542.9M515.7M
Short Term Debt600.3M438.1M866.9M548.2M995.1M783.6M
Long Term Debt1.6B1.3B656.5M533M1.2B1.0B
Operating Income864.6M1.1B5.3B2.7B2.4B1.6B
Investments(1.2B)(1.2B)(522.7M)(1.3B)(1.5B)(1.4B)
Gross Profit Margin0.240.260.170.190.390.29

About Ternium SA Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ternium SA ADR's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ternium SA using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ternium SA ADR based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Ternium SA Investors Sentiment

The influence of Ternium SA's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Ternium. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Ternium SA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ternium. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ternium can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ternium SA ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Ternium SA's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Ternium SA's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Ternium SA's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Ternium SA.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ternium SA in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ternium SA's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ternium SA options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Ternium SA ADR offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ternium SA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ternium Sa Adr Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ternium Sa Adr Stock:
Check out Ternium SA Piotroski F Score and Ternium SA Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Ternium SA's price analysis, check to measure Ternium SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ternium SA is operating at the current time. Most of Ternium SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ternium SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ternium SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ternium SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ternium SA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ternium SA. If investors know Ternium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ternium SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
9.391
Dividend Share
3.3
Earnings Share
3.4
Revenue Per Share
89.707
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.39
The market value of Ternium SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ternium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ternium SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ternium SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ternium SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ternium SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ternium SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ternium SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ternium SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.