Uber Probability Of Bankruptcy
| UBER Stock | USD 45.99 0.15 0.33% |
Uber | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Uber Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis
Uber Technologies' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
| 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Calculated Tax Rate | 19.41 | 19.3 | Long Term Debt to Equity | 1.26 | 1.0 |
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Uber Technologies Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 32% |
Most of Uber Technologies' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Uber Technologies is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Uber Technologies probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Uber Technologies odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Uber Technologies financial health.
Is Uber Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Uber Technologies. If investors know Uber will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Uber Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share (0.18) | Revenue Per Share 17.478 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.143 | Return On Assets (0.011) |
The market value of Uber Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Uber that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Uber Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Uber Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Uber Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Uber Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Uber Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Uber Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Uber Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Uber Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Uber Technologies is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Uber Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Uber Technologies' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Uber Technologies' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Uber Technologies' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Uber Technologies has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 32.0%. This is 20.91% lower than that of the Ground Transportation sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 19.66% higher than that of the company.
Uber Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Uber Technologies' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Uber Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Uber Technologies by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Uber Technologies is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Uber Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.0422 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.011 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.0107) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.0164) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 102.94 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 2.02 B | |||
| Shares Owned by Insiders | 0.17 % | |||
| Shares Owned by Institutions | 77.04 % | |||
| Number of Shares Shorted | 43.65 M | |||
| Price to Book | 8.77 X | |||
| Price to Sales | 1.80 X | |||
| Revenue | 31.88 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 9.8 B | |||
| EBITDA | (745 M) | |||
| Net Income | (9.14 B) | |||
| Cash and Equivalents | 4.21 B | |||
| Cash per Share | 2.44 X | |||
| Total Debt | 11.14 B | |||
| Debt to Equity | 1.52 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.04 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.25 X | |||
| Cash Flow from Operations | 642 M | |||
| Short Ratio | 1.78 X | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.18) X | |||
| Price to Earnings To Growth | (0.24) X | |||
| Target Price | 57.19 | |||
| Number of Employees | 32.2 K | |||
| Beta | 1.23 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 96.13 B | |||
| Total Asset | 32.11 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | (32.77 B) | |||
| Working Capital | 396 M | |||
| Z Score | 4.68 | |||
| Net Asset | 32.11 B |
About Uber Technologies Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Uber Technologies's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Uber Technologies using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Uber Technologies based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Uber Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Uber Technologies operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 32600 people.
Uber Technologies Investors Sentiment
The influence of Uber Technologies' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Uber. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Uber Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Uber. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Uber can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Uber Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Uber Technologies' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Uber Technologies' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Uber Technologies' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Uber Technologies.
Uber Technologies Implied Volatility | 38.49 |
Uber Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Uber Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Uber Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Uber Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Uber Technologies' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Uber Technologies in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Uber Technologies' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Uber Technologies options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Uber Technologies Piotroski F Score and Uber Technologies Altman Z Score analysis. To learn how to invest in Uber Stock, please use our How to Invest in Uber Technologies guide. Note that the Uber Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Uber Technologies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Uber Stock analysis
When running Uber Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Uber Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Uber Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Uber Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Uber Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Uber Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Uber Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Uber Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Uber Technologies. If investors know Uber will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Uber Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share (0.18) | Revenue Per Share 17.478 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.143 | Return On Assets (0.011) |
The market value of Uber Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Uber that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Uber Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Uber Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Uber Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Uber Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Uber Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Uber Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Uber Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.