United States Natural Etf Probability Of Bankruptcy
| UNG Etf | USD 14.14 0.30 2.08% |
United |
United States Natural ETF chance of financial distress Analysis
United States' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current United States Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 64% |
Most of United States' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, United States Natural is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of United States probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting United States odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of United States Natural financial health.
The market value of United States Natural is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United States' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United States' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United States' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United States' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United States' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United States is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United States' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, United States Natural has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 64%. This is much higher than that of the USCF Investments family and significantly higher than that of the Commodities Focused category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States etfs is notably lower than that of the firm.
United Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses United States' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the etfs which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of United States could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United States by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.United States is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy as compared to similar ETFs.
United Fundamentals
| Return On Asset | -0.4 | |||
| Profit Margin | 1.03 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 1.03 % | |||
| Current Valuation | (157 M) | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 49.2 M | |||
| Price To Earning | (3.38) X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.86 X | |||
| Price To Sales | (1.80) X | |||
| Revenue | (237.43 M) | |||
| Gross Profit | (237.43 M) | |||
| EBITDA | (245.14 M) | |||
| Net Income | (245.14 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 478.77 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | (5.54) X | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.13 % | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (272.5 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.40 X | |||
| Beta | 2.87 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 274.32 M | |||
| Total Asset | 467.63 M | |||
| One Year Return | (48.50) % | |||
| Three Year Return | (29.90) % | |||
| Five Year Return | (30.50) % | |||
| Ten Year Return | (28.60) % | |||
| Net Asset | 467.63 M |
About United States Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze United States Natural's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of United States using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of United States Natural based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this etf, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
United States Implied Volatility | 35.25 |
United States' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United States Natural stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United States' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United States stock will not fluctuate a lot when United States' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards United States in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, United States' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from United States options trading.
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Check out United States Piotroski F Score and United States Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
The market value of United States Natural is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United States' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United States' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United States' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United States' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United States' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United States is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United States' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.