Union Pacific Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| UNP Stock | USD 231.98 4.31 1.82% |
Union | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Union Pacific Company probability of distress Analysis
Union Pacific's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Union Pacific Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 13% |
Most of Union Pacific's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Union Pacific is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Union Pacific probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Union Pacific odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Union Pacific financial health.
Is Union Pacific's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Union Pacific. If investors know Union will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Union Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.012 | Dividend Share 5.2 | Earnings Share 10.44 | Revenue Per Share 39.591 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Union Pacific is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Union that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Union Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Union Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Union Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Union Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Union Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Union Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Union Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Union Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Union Pacific is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Union Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Union Pacific's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Union Pacific's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Union Pacific's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Union Pacific has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 13.0%. This is 69.47% lower than that of the Ground Transportation sector and 68.52% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 67.36% higher than that of the company.
Union Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Union Pacific's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Union Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Union Pacific by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Union Pacific is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Union Pacific Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.1 | 0.096 | 0.0857 | 0.11 | 0.095 | 0.0998 | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.39 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 0.47 | |
| Net Debt | 25.8B | 26.2B | 30.2B | 33.7B | 33.1B | 34.8B | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 4.4B | 4.2B | 5.7B | 5.5B | 5.1B | 3.4B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 39.2B | 41.3B | 43.6B | 47.8B | 47.2B | 49.6B | |
| Total Assets | 61.7B | 62.4B | 63.5B | 65.4B | 67.1B | 39.6B | |
| Total Current Assets | 3.5B | 4.2B | 3.6B | 4.0B | 4.1B | 2.8B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 8.6B | 8.5B | 9.0B | 9.4B | 8.4B | 4.7B |
Union Pacific ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Union Pacific's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Union Pacific's managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Union Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.47 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0861 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.26 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.39 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 176.08 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 610.1 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.21 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 82.24 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.49 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 19.05 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 9.67 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.93 X | ||||
| Revenue | 24.12 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 13.37 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 11.48 B | ||||
| Net Income | 6.38 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 973 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.14 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 34.18 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.98 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.77 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 24.25 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 8.38 B | ||||
| Short Ratio | 1.94 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 10.44 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.53 X | ||||
| Target Price | 262.91 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 32.97 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.07 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 144.16 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 67.13 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 62.09 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (958 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 3.6 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 3.64 B | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 2.00 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 67.13 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 5.2 |
About Union Pacific Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Union Pacific's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Union Pacific using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Union Pacific based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Union Pacific Investors Sentiment
The influence of Union Pacific's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Union. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Union Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Union. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Union can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Union Pacific. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Union Pacific's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Union Pacific's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Union Pacific's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Union Pacific.
Union Pacific Implied Volatility | 59.2 |
Union Pacific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Union Pacific stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Union Pacific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Union Pacific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Union Pacific's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Union Pacific in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Union Pacific's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Union Pacific options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Union Pacific is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Union Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Union Pacific Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Union Pacific Stock:Check out Union Pacific Piotroski F Score and Union Pacific Altman Z Score analysis. To learn how to invest in Union Stock, please use our How to Invest in Union Pacific guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Union Stock analysis
When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Union Pacific's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Union Pacific. If investors know Union will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Union Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.012 | Dividend Share 5.2 | Earnings Share 10.44 | Revenue Per Share 39.591 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Union Pacific is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Union that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Union Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Union Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Union Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Union Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Union Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Union Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Union Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.