Union Pacific Stock Beneish M Score

UNP Stock  USD 229.81  0.58  0.25%   
This module uses fundamental data of Union Pacific to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Union Pacific M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Union Pacific Piotroski F Score and Union Pacific Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Union Stock, please use our How to Invest in Union Pacific guide.
  
At this time, Union Pacific's Debt To Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/19/2024, Debt Equity Ratio is likely to grow to 2.43, while Long Term Debt To Capitalization is likely to drop 0.36. At this time, Union Pacific's PB Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/19/2024, EV To Sales is likely to grow to 7.96, while Capex To Depreciation is likely to drop (1.63).
At this time, it appears that Union Pacific is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Union Pacific's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Union Pacific executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Union Pacific's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-15.91
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.79

Focus
Asset Quality

-32.48

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.24

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.51

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.24

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.3

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.65

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.69

Focus

Union Pacific Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Union Pacific's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.1 B2.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue15.7 B24.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets39.6 B67.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets2.8 B4.1 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total36.8 B63 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment45.7 B66.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.2 B2.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative5.1 B6.4 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities3.4 B5.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total49.6 B47.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt34.8 B33.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt1.9 B1.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt32.7 B31.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income9.5 B9.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities4.7 B8.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term InvestmentsB2.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.660.4365
Way Up
Pretty Stable

Union Pacific Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Union Pacific's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Union Pacific in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Union Pacific's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Union Pacific Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

10.78 Billion

At this time, Union Pacific's Other Operating Expenses is relatively stable compared to the past year.

Union Pacific Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Union Pacific. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.6B1.5B1.7B1.9B2.1B1.1B
Total Revenue21.7B19.5B21.8B24.9B24.1B15.7B
Total Assets61.7B62.4B63.5B65.4B67.1B39.6B
Total Current Assets3.5B4.2B3.6B4.0B4.1B2.8B
Net Debt25.8B26.2B30.2B33.7B33.1B34.8B
Short Term Debt1.3B1.1B2.2B1.7B1.8B1.9B
Long Term Debt23.9B25.7B27.6B31.6B31.2B32.7B
Operating Income8.6B7.8B9.3B9.9B9.1B9.5B
Investments15M5M24M(3.5B)(3.7B)(3.5B)

Union Pacific ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Union Pacific's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Union Pacific's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Union Pacific Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Union Pacific's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Union Pacific using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Union Pacific based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Union Pacific is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Union Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Union Pacific Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Union Pacific Stock:

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When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Union Pacific's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Union Pacific. If investors know Union will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Union Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.012
Dividend Share
5.2
Earnings Share
10.45
Revenue Per Share
39.591
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
The market value of Union Pacific is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Union that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Union Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Union Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Union Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Union Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Union Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Union Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Union Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.